Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham win on 2024-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d7cc1c13d03369260b8c10c29cfedf2b179280f84fd60c23a68e804f03efe87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 19c | 3,262$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.96 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed Yes | 13c | 1,999$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.81 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03e9…9507backed No | 75c | 1,657$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.54 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 68c | 1,536$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.73 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,396$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 65c | 1,190$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.49 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…adddbacked Yes | 39c | 1,062$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc618…bcc2backed No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1577…3612backed Yes | 8c | 855.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 34c | 553.95$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.33 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 492.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 78c | 491.87$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Yes | 20c | 479.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 28c | 446.76$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Yes | 35c | 385.7$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 66c | 350.16$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48e…8f7dbacked Yes | 17c | 300.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95c7…3c3bbacked Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 66c | 222$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 65c | 216$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…425cbacked Yes | 43c | 215.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…f1e8backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…b28abacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 37c | 136.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Yes | 13c | 116.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 66c | 106$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 32c | 89.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes | 41c | 82.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…a9b3backed Yes | 24c | 78.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 35c | 77.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…647dbacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 72c | 39.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…0c53backed No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0745…4428backed Yes | 37c | 35.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 36c | 34.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +301.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x650d…4572backed Yes | 41c | 30.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham win on 2024-12-21?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2024-12-21?No won
- Will West Ham vs. Brighton end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.