Boxing · resolved market
66kg W Boxing Final: Khelif (ALG) vs. Yang (CHN)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1faaaa41ce5e593b7639f44b4077dd49bcdf462d8a4e10d2a8e6543f118057fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Khelifof Khelif, Liu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Liu | 17c | 2,719$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Liu | 17c | 2,512$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed Liu | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Liu | 15c | 1,915$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.17 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Liu | 17c | 1,378$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…4787backed Liu | 19c | 1,258$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…4236backed Liu | 21c | 1,065$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Khelif | 79c | 1,025$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Liu | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ea…be3ebacked Liu | 10c | 399.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…73ccbacked Liu | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Liu | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed Liu | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Liu | 18c | 192.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Liu | 14c | 190$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2189…04b7backed Liu | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…f82ebacked Liu | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9f…2e3abacked Liu | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792f…3ea3backed Liu | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef9…83d6backed Liu | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Liu | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff5…3dfdbacked Liu | 25c | 98.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…2da3backed Liu | 17c | 95.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Liu | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…d21dbacked Liu | 18c | 62.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…7afbbacked Khelif | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Khelif | 75c | 34.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.