Boxing · resolved market
Olympic Boxing: Imane Khelif (ALG) vs Luca Hamori (HUN)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x964795a711622050f42e9d623c002af93f5d37799546549c2e6c61fdc49dec0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Khelifof Khelif, Hamori
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8d9…dd01backed Hamori | 17c | 405.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Hamori | 11c | 369.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Khelif | 76c | 282.68$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Hamori | 11c | 209.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -86%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…8bdebacked Khelif | 78c | 199.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Khelif | 78c | 187.24$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6532…e7c1backed Hamori | 14c | 176.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed Hamori | 14c | 175.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…c5d7backed Hamori | 8c | 141$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8259…bd18backed Hamori | 17c | 120.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd87…187dbacked Hamori | 17c | 115.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e3…5297backed Hamori | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…5ef7backed Hamori | 20c | 100.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e40…41aabacked Hamori | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…f82ebacked Hamori | 17c | 79.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Hamori | 22c | 77.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +234%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…7afbbacked Hamori | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…8d6cbacked Hamori | 20c | 62.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x105b…08f0backed Khelif | 79c | 51.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Khelif | 71c | 18.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.