Olympics · resolved market
Will Ana Patricia Silva & Lisboa Duda (BRA) win Gold in Beach Volleyball?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa20b568eb6f55446d33816f3bd89767735c1ce8ea3e5d1a8371084aa4f5eefc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 38c | 1,262$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.77 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed No | 22c | 604.85$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.01 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…a5afbacked Yes | 68c | 589.95$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 43c | 490.23$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 65c | 459.09$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.27 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eff…a545backed No | 4c | 299.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca6…6b28backed No | 39c | 287$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76be…e775backed Yes | 62c | 202.79$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 41c | 180$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…46cbbacked No | 59c | 180$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…2a72backed No | 59c | 164$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ea…be3ebacked No | 39c | 143$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b7…9a3cbacked No | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252c…c1d4backed Yes | 79c | 113.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04b…1424backed No | 23c | 113.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…53a1backed Yes | 79c | 104.87$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 36c | 102.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…b942backed Yes | 59c | 100.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…b44cbacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…c3abbacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…2addbacked Yes | 55c | 82.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 59c | 74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e65…11f3backed Yes | 59c | 66.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…5b09backed Yes | 79c | 55.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…d6d7backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…c3d4backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…9909backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…9f96backed Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe515…9458backed Yes | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Yes | 78c | 22.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498e…47a0backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 64c | 19.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f5…8c66backed Yes | 66c | 17.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 63c | 16.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e00…724ebacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ana Patricia Silva & Lisboa Duda (BRA) win Gold in Beach Volleyball?this page
- Will Nina Brunner & Tanja Huberli (SUI) win Gold in Beach Volleyball?No won
- Will Any Other Team win Gold in Women’s Beach Volleyball?No won
- Will Barbara Seixas & Carol Solberg (BRA) win Gold in Beach Volleyball?No won
- Will Kelly Cheng & Sara Hughes (USA) win Gold in Beach Volleyball?No won
- Will Taliqua Clancy & Mariafe Artacho del Solar (AUS) win Gold in Beach Volleyball?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.