NFL · resolved market
Seahawks vs. Browns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2e3c69f9509b28c8b1fa36914541acc372dbbd9be23ad943db18b5d51b0e57d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Seahawks, Browns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Browns | 16c | 5,365$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.58 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Seahawks | 54c | 2,791$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.9 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Browns | 44c | 2,638$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.57 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Browns | 3c | 2,446$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked Seahawks | 63c | 1,196$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…4236backed Browns | 15c | 1,129$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.85 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Seahawks | 73c | 825.8$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.06 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Browns | 21c | 747.81$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.57 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Browns | 16c | 646.72$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked Seahawks | 79c | 640.32$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Seahawks | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Browns | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…2ec0backed Browns | 30c | 456.39$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed Seahawks | 80c | 436.32$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.54 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Seahawks | 46c | 428.26$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.26 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…5ef8backed Browns | 29c | 300$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd3…389cbacked Browns | 38c | 300$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Browns | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Browns | 53c | 221.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Browns | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Browns | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Browns | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…8839backed Seahawks | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…51cfbacked Seahawks | 70c | 135.01$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…46cbbacked Browns | 51c | 117$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Seahawks | 75c | 110.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Browns | 39c | 100.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Seahawks | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Browns | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d16…a1b6backed Browns | 51c | 98.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…f127backed Seahawks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…d19cbacked Browns | 11c | 95.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Browns | 39c | 89.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4265…1872backed Seahawks | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc5…3702backed Browns | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba32…e938backed Seahawks | 50c | 59.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…929fbacked Browns | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Browns | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c5…1241backed Seahawks | 76c | 39.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Browns | 49c | 24.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.