Movies · resolved market
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $95m and $105m opening weekend?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc742af29d04c88556ac2aa327d1dc644a08ace04d8dd4b92e05c83d4a1545368
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed7c…da06backed Yes | 12c | 21,258$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 7c | 17,066$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.16 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 2c | 12,715$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.45 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…b93fbacked Yes | 48c | 12,255$5,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,832.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 1c | 10,077$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 43c | 7,688$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,305.47 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 1c | 7,200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed No | 70c | 4,126$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.68 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Yes | 22c | 3,820$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.8 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 20c | 3,563$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.91 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 13c | 3,130$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.69 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…762dbacked Yes | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed Yes | 17c | 3,000$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,929$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.8 | 121 | 4.1%5 W · 116 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked No | 73c | 2,853$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.01 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 19c | 2,729$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 128 | 6.3%8 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked Yes | 25c | 2,703$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef7…4206backed Yes | 24c | 2,638$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c15fbacked Yes | 31c | 2,344$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed Yes | 23c | 2,334$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 31c | 2,324$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.72 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…681ebacked Yes | 22c | 2,278$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1df…0f37backed Yes | 2c | 2,104$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e82…6bacbacked Yes | 30c | 1,800$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 7c | 1,765$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.6 | 166 | 14.5%24 W · 142 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…43e8backed Yes | 65c | 1,755$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 6c | 1,300$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 48c | 1,221$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.52 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed Yes | 28c | 1,203$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.89 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 32c | 1,136$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.77 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,100$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.82 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 9c | 1,020$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…9eb7backed Yes | 25c | 1,016$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…ed7abacked Yes | 15c | 994.4$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 19c | 874.89$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.61 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b58…c6a8backed Yes | 4c | 773$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 70c | 667$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.9 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 22c | 612$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 17c | 604.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e3…8b45backed Yes | 5c | 547.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7a…65a6backed Yes | 32c | 533.77$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…5b98backed Yes | 13c | 520$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Yes | 15c | 504.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed Yes | 43c | 502.57$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca6…6b28backed Yes | 20c | 500.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3575…4f23backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…47ccbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…ff97backed Yes | 17c | 453.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…d066backed Yes | 31c | 420$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Yes | 5c | 402.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d0…2002backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 24c | 397.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 16c | 386.76$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 14c | 337.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…a8f1backed Yes | 21c | 334.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…5701backed Yes | 22c | 333.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 58c | 325.02$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Yes | 56c | 312.45$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 40c | 310$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 18c | 303.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Yes | 16c | 303.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked Yes | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…102abacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 15c | 295$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 59c | 265.39$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.78 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7105…c107backed Yes | 20c | 230$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…61cebacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85fe…dedfbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…d4efbacked Yes | 22c | 187$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…60aebacked Yes | 19c | 180$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…73ccbacked Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…b557backed Yes | 18c | 135$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…0df4backed Yes | 14c | 128.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 32c | 128$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…57a9backed Yes | 17c | 117.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Yes | 41c | 109.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 17c | 103$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…e44bbacked No | 76c | 102.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…2ec2backed Yes | 29c | 102.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 30c | 100.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…fe08backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…fe65backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…6565backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…1ccebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked No | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 18c | 97.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked Yes | 12c | 88.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe047…e509backed Yes | 30c | 82.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 20c | 78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…66fbbacked Yes | 18c | 68.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…7551backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 25c | 46.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…7ef9backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $95m and $105m opening weekend?this page
- Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $75m and $85m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $85m and $95m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross less than $75m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.