Movies · resolved market
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda6b02132a4739dca455b489aee53df859da5c01809b216be2a026110223f71c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $470,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $566,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc615…221dbacked Yes | 52c | 9,574$4,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,595.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…43e8backed Yes | 70c | 9,500$6,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 55c | 8,790$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.55 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 65c | 8,722$5,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.39 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777e…2836backed No | 31c | 8,201$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed No | 61c | 8,085$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…0cfdbacked Yes | 23c | 8,064$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,192.39 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +9.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…681ebacked No | 58c | 7,595$4,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,384.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 66c | 7,527$4,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,982.07 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed No | 43c | 7,152$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,097.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…d81fbacked No | 62c | 6,598$4,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,102.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 53c | 5,654$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.27 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e82…6bacbacked Yes | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,150 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 66c | 4,953$3,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.34 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…9eb7backed Yes | 75c | 4,555$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.11 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 1c | 4,058$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…b93fbacked Yes | 62c | 3,858$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed Yes | 45c | 3,342$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 8c | 2,782$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.49 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff4…fb3ebacked No | 36c | 2,714$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca6…6b28backed Yes | 28c | 2,600$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed Yes | 51c | 2,384$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 50c | 2,324$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.73 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…a83cbacked No | 35c | 2,131$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.68 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 20c | 2,101$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…5701backed No | 60c | 2,020$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…762dbacked No | 78c | 2,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef7…4206backed Yes | 29c | 1,880$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 12c | 1,850$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.5 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…ff97backed Yes | 39c | 1,746$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 30c | 1,581$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.09 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 20c | 1,476$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.91 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked No | 10c | 1,446$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed No | 60c | 1,350$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…e44bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,340$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.42 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed No | 50c | 1,303$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 26c | 1,300$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.1 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 73c | 1,267$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.36 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 38c | 1,138$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.06 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…d066backed No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Yes | 52c | 997.14$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Yes | 70c | 994.02$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed Yes | 47c | 988.02$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.01 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Yes | 46c | 952.35$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.4 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 55c | 935$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked No | 67c | 912.84$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…1ccebacked No | 46c | 909.98$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…fb7dbacked Yes | 59c | 899.76$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked No | 33c | 899.43$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked No | 61c | 882.59$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.43 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 23c | 803.1$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.06 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…a3aabacked Yes | 72c | 787.49$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…d00fbacked No | 54c | 763.64$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.71 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 27c | 690$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked No | 8c | 670.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 121 | 4.1%5 W · 116 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed No | 30c | 650.66$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 52c | 648.38$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.35 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x481c…73eebacked No | 61c | 625.85$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…e9ffbacked Yes | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 63c | 600$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed No | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…ed7abacked Yes | 72c | 526.65$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4437…503ebacked No | 60c | 521$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked No | 54c | 506.46$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.46 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5021…9906backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 7c | 488.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +346%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a1…5d25backed No | 46c | 474$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 50c | 460$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.9 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…61cebacked No | 35c | 454$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…d194backed No | 31c | 414.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 50c | 408.21$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 4c | 384.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked Yes | 55c | 350$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…6c64backed Yes | 39c | 345.23$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae48…4b2bbacked No | 70c | 334.36$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…b38fbacked No | 69c | 331$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…dad2backed No | 33c | 302.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…7a45backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x240e…e8aabacked No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked No | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa5…7e01backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7a…65a6backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed No | 26c | 296$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…eccabacked Yes | 31c | 290$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 39c | 276.51$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.81 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…d4efbacked No | 36c | 257.38$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…6501backed Yes | 51c | 235.72$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked Yes | 52c | 223.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b97…99e5backed Yes | 60c | 217.88$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x193f…efeabacked Yes | 68c | 216.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 48c | 194.12$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa36…acd3backed Yes | 52c | 193$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd432…7b82backed No | 31c | 180$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…754ebacked No | 45c | 176$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf3…ace5backed No | 61c | 166.27$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?this page
- Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $75m and $85m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $85m and $95m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $95m and $105m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross less than $75m opening weekend?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.