Movies · resolved market
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $75m and $85m opening weekend?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ae9475f8a5a24464c4be57c30be72af0858b32c00af2631ca593e282de74e8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $481,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd18f…681ebacked Yes | 3c | 97,269$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 2c | 67,504$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.44 | 121 | 4.1%5 W · 116 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 33,948$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.6 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 32,179$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.74 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 3c | 20,164$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.96 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c15fbacked Yes | 1c | 11,156$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 1c | 9,438$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 8c | 5,965$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.39 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 0c | 5,960$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked Yes | 24c | 4,709$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.69 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d0…2002backed Yes | 1c | 4,500$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05de…6f02backed Yes | 1c | 4,487$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…b93fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,525$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 7c | 3,500$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 2c | 3,448$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,324$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777e…2836backed Yes | 2c | 2,300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9059…a4fabacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,986$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 4c | 1,972$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…7ef9backed Yes | 1c | 1,900$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed Yes | 20c | 1,803$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,755$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.9 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…d81fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,705$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…ed7abacked Yes | 2c | 1,701$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…1ccebacked Yes | 7c | 1,400$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5531…2952backed Yes | 2c | 1,312$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed Yes | 3c | 1,150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 5c | 798.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 128 | 6.3%8 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8559…abd8backed Yes | 16c | 781.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 3c | 773.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Yes | 20c | 753.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed No | 80c | 728.54$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef7…4206backed Yes | 22c | 699.14$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked Yes | 3c | 689.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…4cc4backed Yes | 15c | 674.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…5b98backed Yes | 2c | 545.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…a72bbacked Yes | 18c | 544.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…6c95backed Yes | 3c | 499.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked Yes | 20c | 452$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…eb1abacked Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…5cedbacked Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd432…7b82backed Yes | 7c | 345$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7105…c107backed Yes | 3c | 344.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…2ec0backed Yes | 21c | 337.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…5701backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351f…6815backed Yes | 9c | 315$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 15c | 280.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…085bbacked Yes | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…39fbbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 9c | 170.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 14c | 170.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 166 | 14.5%24 W · 142 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…549dbacked Yes | 17c | 161.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b3cbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ed…cce3backed Yes | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe855…c2d6backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 16c | 128.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…a83cbacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed No | 62c | 48.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb276…d4debacked No | 77c | 20.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $75m and $85m opening weekend?this page
- Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $85m and $95m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $95m and $105m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross less than $75m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.