TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2f5…7551

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFLlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$178.36
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$77.27
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+156.6%+$172.27
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+327.4%+$40.12
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38.61
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.35
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+238.5%+$151.12
Lions vs. Packersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+75.1%+$74.92
Will there be less than 625 points scored NFL Week 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$13
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+72.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$29.64
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$106.36
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+194.1%+$99
Will there be between 21 and 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$18
Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$70.5
September temperature increase by between 1.23-1.28°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+194.1%+$132
September temperature increase by between 1.35-1.40°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$22
September temperature increase by between 1.17-1.22°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$34
September temperature increase by between 1.29-1.34°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$40
September temperature increase by less than 1.17°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$16
September temperature increase by more than 1.40°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$14
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$28.11
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.31
All 3 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick31cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet between 140-149 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 150 or more times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$150.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+297.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+297.1%+$594.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+189%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+189%+$69.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+129.8%+$90.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$38.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.