Olympics · resolved market
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c92250b1061993fb9ec377592eeee6dc8f81248636000a06f7349595254d13d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USAof USA, Serbia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $547,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $476,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $547,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Serbia | 6c | 40,200$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Serbia | 5c | 36,976$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Serbia | 17c | 30,601$5,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,069.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Serbia | 5c | 25,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a694backed Serbia | 16c | 23,587$3,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,879.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…32b8backed Serbia | 23c | 18,203$4,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,105.31 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Serbia | 17c | 13,407$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.47 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Serbia | 7c | 12,500$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…df27backed Serbia | 7c | 11,033$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Serbia | 5c | 11,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Serbia | 20c | 10,341$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.85 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked Serbia | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Serbia | 26c | 10,000$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked USA | 37c | 9,398$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,929.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…2433backed Serbia | 43c | 9,374$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked USA | 80c | 9,166$7,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Serbia | 29c | 9,044$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Serbia | 7c | 8,848$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked USA | 78c | 8,450$6,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed Serbia | 7c | 7,609$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x105b…08f0backed Serbia | 37c | 7,508$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.64 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Serbia | 38c | 6,960$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.81 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b3…7469backed Serbia | 33c | 6,854$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Serbia | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked USA | 66c | 5,318$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.51 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3aac…1fd9backed USA | 71c | 5,303$3,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Serbia | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5795…4fecbacked Serbia | 28c | 4,985$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…28ccbacked Serbia | 6c | 4,803$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…1045backed Serbia | 4c | 4,357$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…1708backed Serbia | 3c | 4,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Serbia | 39c | 3,816$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Serbia | 12c | 3,771$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…d6bdbacked Serbia | 7c | 3,554$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Serbia | 18c | 2,999$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.63 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…8633backed USA | 71c | 2,604$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Serbia | 46c | 2,516$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.23 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed Serbia | 46c | 2,348$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Serbia | 14c | 2,326$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.66 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…4d9fbacked Serbia | 33c | 2,295$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed USA | 76c | 2,205$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…0ec1backed Serbia | 29c | 2,004$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f56…6cfcbacked Serbia | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Serbia | 18c | 1,950$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…6565backed Serbia | 5c | 1,700$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed USA | 64c | 1,524$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.5 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Serbia | 43c | 1,511$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…aa10backed Serbia | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Serbia | 15c | 1,435$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0c…b4acbacked Serbia | 59c | 1,355$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Serbia | 5c | 1,328$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Serbia | 17c | 1,190$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…84debacked Serbia | 70c | 1,152$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d96…91f6backed USA | 77c | 1,097$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…25b8backed USA | 48c | 1,025$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e72…3e8dbacked Serbia | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Serbia | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…bad6backed Serbia | 16c | 928.67$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…ffcebacked Serbia | 35c | 911.87$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…b93fbacked USA | 58c | 867.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Serbia | 9c | 793.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0786backed USA | 64c | 786.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…9ebdbacked Serbia | 35c | 739.18$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…c3dcbacked USA | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…41f7backed Serbia | 14c | 715$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked USA | 54c | 710.15$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.67 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478b…947fbacked USA | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d43…d842backed USA | 77c | 647.43$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Serbia | 34c | 638.26$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.01 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b85…6980backed USA | 63c | 614.95$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Serbia | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…48b7backed Serbia | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e37…381bbacked Serbia | 17c | 588.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Serbia | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…7e94backed Serbia | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked USA | 63c | 478.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Serbia | 8c | 475$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d61…fe3dbacked USA | 55c | 468.93$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…9205backed Serbia | 7c | 468.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Serbia | 35c | 449.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…c9bbbacked Serbia | 13c | 414.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…0f9cbacked Serbia | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Serbia | 5c | 399.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…de83backed USA | 47c | 383.59$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.53 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked USA | 60c | 371.84$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…762dbacked Serbia | 21c | 358.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222a…62f7backed Serbia | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…2da3backed Serbia | 67c | 352.58$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…fc4cbacked USA | 75c | 332.88$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +60%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…6600backed USA | 63c | 325$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf842…682dbacked USA | 45c | 319.48$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Serbia | 16c | 315.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c9…4a6abacked Serbia | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Serbia | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed USA | 78c | 274.93$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked USA | 72c | 249.85$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…61bdbacked USA | 67c | 239.72$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd4…50fabacked USA | 70c | 237.34$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd465…0ab4backed Serbia | 9c | 230$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee9…b576backed Serbia | 6c | 229.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.