NFL · resolved market
Eagles vs. Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7d0a90ed9ce9a2dc531dda0b0dc2686370bf75de3a6cc48a64548e4fabb2d64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Eagles, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Eagles | 33c | 1,263$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.8 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Vikings | 49c | 987.96$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.86 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…b18cbacked Eagles | 41c | 680.15$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.95 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Eagles | 50c | 589$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db5…d7bcbacked Vikings | 50c | 470$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Vikings | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Vikings | 66c | 395.29$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.41 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked Vikings | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed Eagles | 23c | 260$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7856…139fbacked Eagles | 51c | 229.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1c…1429backed Eagles | 51c | 229.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…5ef8backed Eagles | 32c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Vikings | 48c | 195.86$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.85 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…a4e3backed Eagles | 57c | 177.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfb…e4e5backed Vikings | 48c | 175.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Eagles | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Vikings | 43c | 116.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Vikings | 48c | 110.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021b…3c73backed Eagles | 15c | 107.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Vikings | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…51cfbacked Eagles | 55c | 63.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Vikings | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Vikings | 45c | 54.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c53…fc51backed Eagles | 38c | 50.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed Eagles | 54c | 30.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Vikings | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Eagles | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…c676backed Eagles | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Vikings | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.