Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf60044988c5998f5b5c0af0ab2030881e65c4bdfc72a6779f1cf9546c166d0c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,160,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,641,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,160,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 497 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2806…36e7backed Yes | 30c | 170,133$50,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,744.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3779…0f80backed Yes | 1c | 163,437$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a60…d019backed Yes | 24c | 145,156$34,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,259.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…b9c3backed No | 76c | 136,187$103,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,871.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49c…8150backed Yes | 8c | 103,658$8,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,694.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed Yes | 13c | 102,616$12,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,959.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed No | 70c | 99,902$69,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,154.1 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 0c | 91,719$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.08 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 2c | 89,304$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 19c | 59,981$11,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,432.81 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 20c | 46,130$9,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,352.52 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d7…2dbfbacked Yes | 0c | 35,000$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 26c | 31,794$8,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,419.77 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…c594backed Yes | 30c | 30,726$9,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,365 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 4c | 29,666$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.34 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Yes | 1c | 27,147$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…b735backed Yes | 67c | 22,207$14,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,883 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 2c | 20,200$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.93 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed Yes | 34c | 18,684$6,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,402.31 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…4d6cbacked Yes | 6c | 14,529$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa6…de7abacked Yes | 18c | 13,083$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…3ef8backed Yes | 3c | 12,584$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 79c | 11,969$9,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.68 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 52c | 11,202$5,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,412.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Yes | 3c | 10,867$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…8afebacked No | 55c | 10,516$5,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…77e9backed Yes | 4c | 10,005$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 16c | 9,491$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.82 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked No | 68c | 8,800$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.39 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…6bcfbacked Yes | 73c | 8,775$6,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,404.54 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -90%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…2ad4backed Yes | 5c | 8,749$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…9f94backed Yes | 14c | 8,233$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 55c | 8,172$4,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,462.84 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…7252backed Yes | 13c | 7,678$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 61c | 6,651$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed Yes | 1c | 6,484$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked Yes | 45c | 5,988$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717.73 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef2…6d23backed No | 77c | 5,951$4,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed No | 51c | 5,828$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.74 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 22c | 5,664$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.56 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…0b9abacked Yes | 23c | 5,222$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed Yes | 13c | 5,085$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…c8cebacked Yes | 29c | 4,019$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…f146backed Yes | 61c | 3,642$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked No | 55c | 3,243$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc9…50a4backed Yes | 4c | 3,142$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 70c | 3,000$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…9837backed No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…fc4cbacked Yes | 21c | 2,903$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…3af3backed No | 55c | 2,676$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed No | 34c | 2,622$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +198%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed No | 53c | 2,591$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe4…2859backed Yes | 20c | 2,499$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 60c | 2,493$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.89 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7467…e978backed No | 50c | 2,410$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff3d…3fddbacked No | 56c | 2,408$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.54 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,220$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…76dcbacked Yes | 65c | 2,120$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…ee7bbacked No | 67c | 2,091$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46d9…2becbacked No | 73c | 2,090$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 15c | 1,994$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…4568backed No | 57c | 1,807$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2545…448ebacked No | 74c | 1,763$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 61c | 1,641$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…aaadbacked Yes | 64c | 1,635$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…e300backed No | 31c | 1,593$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…d0c5backed No | 59c | 1,529$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…9e97backed No | 73c | 1,457$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed Yes | 22c | 1,446$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed No | 38c | 1,442$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked No | 59c | 1,362$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6d87backed No | 79c | 1,352$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 22c | 1,300$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 4c | 1,284$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf53…8743backed No | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…2bf1backed Yes | 18c | 1,210$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…f39fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,160$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 23c | 1,141$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.7 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…6b3abacked No | 31c | 1,120$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9d…4cc1backed No | 41c | 1,116$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 52c | 1,053$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Yes | 29c | 1,032$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…436bbacked No | 64c | 1,023$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.81 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 54c | 1,020$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.19 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…c356backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Yes | 27c | 999.99$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…5d89backed No | 47c | 995.81$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d48…784cbacked No | 42c | 976.08$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8928…2b19backed No | 54c | 970.45$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…d924backed Yes | 20c | 970$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155a…b549backed No | 60c | 921.9$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…e606backed No | 55c | 903.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…1e9bbacked No | 57c | 880$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…d46dbacked No | 79c | 877.22$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked No | 80c | 876.45$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 64c | 849.97$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.49 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…cf47backed No | 30c | 800$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.