NFL · resolved market
Buccaneers vs. Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0151072ad9cb68b4f13b9a5ab8aac12767551f1c85a9f254f8cf5a8314e9e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buccaneersof Buccaneers, Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Dolphins | 12c | 1,685$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.95 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Buccaneers | 59c | 1,546$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.18 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Dolphins | 41c | 803.36$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.38 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -12.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked Dolphins | 39c | 640$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Dolphins | 39c | 599.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Dolphins | 43c | 573.56$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.84 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Buccaneers | 57c | 569.17$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.36 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Dolphins | 44c | 421.63$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.44 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed Buccaneers | 80c | 402.72$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Dolphins | 44c | 378$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…b987backed Dolphins | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed Dolphins | 51c | 333$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Buccaneers | 78c | 330$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Dolphins | 43c | 311$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…46cbbacked Dolphins | 52c | 288$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Dolphins | 16c | 234.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Dolphins | 42c | 229.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…6f77backed Buccaneers | 60c | 221$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Buccaneers | 58c | 209.85$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.14 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Buccaneers | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…d19cbacked Dolphins | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Dolphins | 56c | 134$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Dolphins | 45c | 105.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…d431backed Dolphins | 42c | 101.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Dolphins | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…51cfbacked Dolphins | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb818…bc56backed Dolphins | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…030bbacked Dolphins | 25c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021b…3c73backed Buccaneers | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Dolphins | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…c676backed Dolphins | 43c | 46.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.