Olympics · resolved market
Olympic Basketball: Canada vs. France
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf04ec6d59c42fea03d2d3fbd37c7c2fdaa9621ca38d59aa99af316d6dfba03d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franceof Canada, France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked France | 73c | 15,779$11,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,293 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Canada | 27c | 10,811$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.96 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked Canada | 27c | 9,612$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.39 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…997dbacked Canada | 1c | 6,100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Canada | 71c | 3,327$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed Canada | 31c | 3,278$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Canada | 2c | 2,997$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked France | 74c | 2,681$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Canada | 76c | 2,591$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.58 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Canada | 4c | 2,500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Canada | 31c | 2,483$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed France | 25c | 2,412$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Canada | 75c | 1,582$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe946…4cc4backed Canada | 76c | 1,328$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed France | 24c | 1,312$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.22 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…fcf5backed France | 78c | 1,310$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed France | 71c | 1,253$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.51 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked Canada | 70c | 1,100$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked France | 66c | 900.63$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a424backed France | 67c | 741.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Canada | 62c | 699.35$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…552fbacked Canada | 76c | 658.24$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.26 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…2e3abacked Canada | 76c | 650$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Canada | 30c | 618.88$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.34 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…cfc7backed France | 24c | 600$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…e77abacked France | 46c | 570$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…6a7fbacked Canada | 77c | 514.55$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed France | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Canada | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed France | 23c | 494.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.12 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…48b7backed Canada | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…c3d4backed France | 33c | 294.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.46 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Canada | 76c | 266.82$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Canada | 48c | 248.44$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed France | 74c | 220.73$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…bad6backed France | 80c | 202.5$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked France | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…408cbacked France | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed France | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +195.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…67a9backed Canada | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa3…c526backed France | 24c | 199.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed France | 24c | 195$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed Canada | 10c | 191.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…6f77backed Canada | 53c | 189$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…94ddbacked France | 71c | 184.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f7…91edbacked Canada | 66c | 150.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e72…3e8dbacked France | 68c | 150$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfa…478abacked Canada | 76c | 137.83$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Canada | 27c | 135$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…afffbacked France | 24c | 131.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Canada | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…5538backed Canada | 76c | 106.12$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed France | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Canada | 75c | 99.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222a…62f7backed Canada | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked France | 60c | 82.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa39…d95bbacked France | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked France | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Canada | 16c | 74.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5b…df8dbacked France | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc90…6eb4backed Canada | 77c | 62.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed France | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3a…f5d5backed Canada | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb8…519fbacked Canada | 28c | 59.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…06efbacked Canada | 76c | 59.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9250…23bfbacked Canada | 76c | 59.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked Canada | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…12cdbacked Canada | 76c | 55.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c91…b5ccbacked Canada | 65c | 38.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…f12ebacked Canada | 41c | 28.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3c…e38bbacked Canada | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4237…11d3backed Canada | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…782dbacked France | 76c | 20.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed France | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c5…6f71backed France | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…8aa7backed France | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.