NFL · resolved market
Patriots vs. Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcc5d1482abf4ed554b1efdfce19a82bd04edc346d4afb79051d943c6959dde5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eaglesof Patriots, Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1508…01bdbacked Patriots | 63c | 17,140$10,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,781.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…2f80backed Eagles | 37c | 9,610$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,054.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Eagles | 40c | 5,396$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Eagles | 42c | 4,978$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.25 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Patriots | 58c | 4,916$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.5 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Eagles | 37c | 4,790$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.7 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Patriots | 35c | 3,361$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.47 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Eagles | 39c | 3,066$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.29 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked Patriots | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Patriots | 59c | 1,448$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.26 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Eagles | 42c | 1,420$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.6 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Patriots | 22c | 1,206$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.5 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…1708backed Patriots | 4c | 1,142$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ca…8802backed Patriots | 60c | 912.02$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160f…524bbacked Patriots | 59c | 568.19$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked Eagles | 80c | 551.15$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e8…ce3bbacked Patriots | 68c | 512.56$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…6f77backed Patriots | 62c | 506.04$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…d31abacked Patriots | 58c | 417.24$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6caf…30cfbacked Patriots | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…99a4backed Eagles | 38c | 393.89$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa764…31edbacked Patriots | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Eagles | 21c | 341.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.21 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Patriots | 59c | 338.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Eagles | 42c | 334.5$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.01 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Patriots | 55c | 231.24$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.18 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…1829backed Eagles | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8669…f77ebacked Eagles | 45c | 222.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…d81fbacked Eagles | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…ba16backed Eagles | 43c | 200.15$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ae…1e9abacked Eagles | 44c | 200.06$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bd…19f8backed Patriots | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…fcb5backed Patriots | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Eagles | 37c | 188.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x120f…7956backed Patriots | 58c | 173$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Eagles | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…a975backed Eagles | 29c | 123.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…967cbacked Eagles | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Eagles | 42c | 115.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Eagles | 40c | 113.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Eagles | 46c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa428…1a4cbacked Patriots | 58c | 101.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed Eagles | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…cff0backed Eagles | 43c | 95.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Patriots | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Eagles | 38c | 94.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27e8…0693backed Eagles | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Patriots | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…46cbbacked Eagles | 42c | 87.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…6239backed Eagles | 28c | 81.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Patriots | 64c | 78.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Eagles | 36c | 78.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Eagles | 26c | 61.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Patriots | 53c | 60.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Patriots | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…6501backed Eagles | 43c | 58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…030bbacked Eagles | 32c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b38…e787backed Eagles | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1706…9131backed Patriots | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…e0e8backed Patriots | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…30e6backed Eagles | 44c | 37.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Patriots | 75c | 28.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…0d3abacked Patriots | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Patriots | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Eagles | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb17…0075backed Eagles | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.