Olympics · resolved market
Will Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone (USA) win Gold in 400m Hurdles?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbb20726374b9b95e4278e953caddd8912b51d4040fdece9863c40f948e9fa6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8c8…7407backed Yes | 79c | 18,751$14,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed No | 24c | 5,300$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 20c | 5,181$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.36 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 20c | 4,462$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.41 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 20c | 3,555$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.99 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…ce9dbacked No | 23c | 3,180$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Yes | 80c | 2,766$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed No | 18c | 1,597$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.52 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 78c | 1,380$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Yes | 78c | 1,140$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 76c | 1,111$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.64 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked No | 20c | 1,019$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…e5ddbacked Yes | 79c | 473.93$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +684.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…c3d4backed No | 21c | 439.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 19c | 400$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed No | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…fcf5backed Yes | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked No | 23c | 323.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 78c | 280$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…84d7backed Yes | 79c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d14…cf61backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 26c | 135.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23b…8b75backed No | 22c | 111.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 19cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2189…04b7backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893e…a75bbacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…5f66backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…b942backed Yes | 77c | 98.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 17c | 81.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b93…843abacked Yes | 79c | 76.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…53a1backed Yes | 76c | 75.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…46cbbacked Yes | 70c | 69.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc79e…eac5backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 20c | 63.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…2035backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f0…3e25backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +350.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9b…5754backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe444…2001backed Yes | 77c | 49.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd20…7639backed Yes | 76c | 43.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c433backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…54d5backed Yes | 76c | 27.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e6…6bebbacked Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe9…7e42backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea84…d3abbacked Yes | 79c | 18.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone (USA) win Gold in 400m Hurdles?this page
- Will Anna Cockrell (USA) win Gold in Women’s 400m Hurdles?No won
- Will Femke Bol (NED) win Gold in 400m Hurdles?No won
- Will Jasmine Jones (USA) win Gold in Women’s 400m Hurdles?No won
- Will Rushell Clayton (JAM) win Gold in Women’s 400m Hurdles?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.