Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 2-8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x470baa09bbb0c573ab941e71eb539174cb6a410cf9e8b79c7a179a7c762675d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,357 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x965d…3a0abacked Yes | 26c | 19,210$4,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,967.86 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 42c | 18,094$7,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,630.1 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…47cdbacked No | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 27c | 7,144$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.2 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Yes | 54c | 4,000$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.9 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 33c | 2,735$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.64 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7758…7125backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 46c | 1,928$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 29c | 1,917$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.24 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed No | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 28c | 1,608$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.1 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 61c | 1,431$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.21 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19e…a8bbbacked Yes | 50c | 1,251$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 9.5%13 W · 124 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…b83abacked Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 17c | 821.15$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.93 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 57c | 796.76$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.99 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…9ed0backed No | 64c | 718.49$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.24 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba89…0fefbacked Yes | 13c | 700$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 25c | 627.53$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.36 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 39c | 559.12$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.25 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…eee7backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 26cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…01ccbacked Yes | 19c | 423$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae9e…cfe1backed Yes | 35c | 414.52$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…a37bbacked Yes | 55c | 387.64$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa692…fbafbacked Yes | 33c | 380.75$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd173…abfbbacked No | 42c | 363$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x956a…2995backed No | 56c | 332$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabb…878dbacked No | 56c | 326$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 39c | 320$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…f067backed Yes | 44c | 311$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd25…1712backed No | 56c | 308$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 67c | 282.85$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…edadbacked No | 56c | 271$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…5d17backed No | 60c | 267.67$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 253.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…4dbfbacked Yes | 58c | 252$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096d…9b60backed Yes | 44c | 247$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3a…ad6dbacked No | 56c | 246$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc016…a5a8backed No | 42c | 238$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…500cbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes | 20c | 227$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…c8b2backed Yes | 40c | 226.26$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854b…1a19backed No | 58c | 219.25$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9a…5932backed No | 55c | 211$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…2dc6backed No | 56c | 205$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…0affbacked Yes | 44c | 201$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…0555backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bd…b051backed Yes | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…e61dbacked No | 55c | 199$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b13…a4dfbacked Yes | 44c | 198$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes | 15c | 197.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd43…0699backed Yes | 22c | 195$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1870…6974backed Yes | 44c | 195$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…d906backed Yes | 58c | 195$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3f…40b9backed Yes | 44c | 190$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b2…713ebacked Yes | 44c | 190$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…c072backed No | 56c | 187$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c5…8859backed No | 55c | 179$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a7…d389backed No | 40c | 177$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…cb18backed Yes | 44c | 177$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…1419backed No | 55c | 176$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddea…eee9backed No | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda8b…7566backed No | 55c | 167$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17f…7cd0backed Yes | 44c | 166$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…f266backed Yes | 35c | 161.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a7backed Yes | 58c | 154$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…7b4ebacked No | 66c | 151.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked Yes | 42c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88df…a457backed Yes | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cce…cd7cbacked No | 55c | 149$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd984…18dfbacked Yes | 35c | 141.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5765…ee85backed No | 53c | 139.12$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…a465backed Yes | 42c | 119.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…317dbacked No | 76c | 119.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed Yes | 54c | 103.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e9…0dc9backed Yes | 19c | 94.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…428abacked Yes | 45c | 94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…8b3dbacked Yes | 37c | 81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…7933backed Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x475a…8655backed No | 54c | 75.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed Yes | 19c | 75.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…76dcbacked Yes | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…c18abacked No | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed No | 56c | 71.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…026dbacked No | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cc49backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe17b…04cbbacked Yes | 37c | 58.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…4aecbacked No | 61c | 55.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35b…8043backed Yes | 39c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4553…f1a5backed Yes | 19c | 51.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 36c | 50.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 23c | 50.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef39…423bbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 2-8?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 March 2-8?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 March 2-8?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 March 2-8?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 March 2-8?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 March 2-8?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 March 2-8?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 March 2-8?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 2-8?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 March 2-8?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 March 2-8?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,500 March 2-8?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 March 2-8?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,700 March 2-8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.