Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold hit $3,600 before June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b19d6a105406505627e0a825ad4f0818e823953230a01fe0c5a0ab2a2d3ef09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae5c…53ddbacked Yes | 3c | 66,688$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 8c | 27,755$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.59 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed Yes | 1c | 12,870$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.71 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3418…a3f2backed Yes | 3c | 7,683$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 5c | 7,049$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x647c…2c99backed Yes | 67c | 5,389$3,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,584.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed No | 58c | 5,014$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…a086backed Yes | 44c | 5,014$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b1…bc54backed Yes | 39c | 3,902$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc404…1af8backed No | 63c | 3,900$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 4c | 3,743$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 3,398$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 3c | 2,927$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 2,924$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 31c | 2,894$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.40per pick | 24cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 2,824$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.44 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156c…ad2abacked Yes | 5c | 2,751$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5321…c8e1backed Yes | 20c | 2,414$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 14c | 1,614$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 17c | 1,599$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 17c | 1,585$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.22 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed No | 72c | 1,562$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6abe…d6a5backed Yes | 10c | 1,407$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…ba2fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,356$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.63 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…a65bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,338$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 1,150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dc…3a99backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 15c | 996.06$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 18c | 821.02$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.08 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Yes | 22c | 811.56$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…8ee7backed Yes | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae6…5eb1backed No | 64c | 781.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes | 6c | 690.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8771…aba3backed Yes | 3c | 642.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…ebc5backed Yes | 4c | 639.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…ccf4backed No | 79c | 631.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…fd1abacked Yes | 3c | 584.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…1155backed Yes | 10c | 508.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0a…5e93backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe466…7083backed No | 77c | 472.81$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked No | 62c | 425.81$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 29c | 399.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…b70abacked Yes | 4c | 356.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…53c0backed Yes | 3c | 334.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 72c | 332.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 66c | 330.02$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.84 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 33c | 320.09$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…6a4ebacked Yes | 9c | 290.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 19c | 280$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed Yes | 18c | 275.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 65c | 269.29$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…d977backed Yes | 6c | 257.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…c391backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 18c | 244.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee98…a26dbacked Yes | 20c | 243.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…78bcbacked Yes | 33c | 238.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed No | 59c | 236.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed No | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0695…4accbacked Yes | 37c | 207.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 62c | 206.62$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…8049backed Yes | 21c | 200.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6711…7d95backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd690…c661backed No | 65c | 197.8$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 15c | 195.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…42e9backed Yes | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 13c | 188.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…97c0backed Yes | 18c | 162.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e85…515cbacked Yes | 25c | 155.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 12c | 154.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1,051 | 34.7%365 W · 686 L | -93.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 26c | 152.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2c1fbacked No | 69c | 142.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9093backed Yes | 18c | 140.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…e666backed Yes | 18c | 137.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed Yes | 29c | 137.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…5df5backed Yes | 24c | 133$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 24c | 121.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…fa11backed No | 75c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…e238backed Yes | 18c | 119.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 57c | 115$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 25c | 112.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd118…a96dbacked Yes | 18c | 112.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 37c | 112.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…377abacked No | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d1…7423backed Yes | 11c | 108.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…eb99backed Yes | 20c | 100.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 17c | 100.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24d…0a3ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…e346backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…a08ebacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…6edfbacked Yes | 33c | 89.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…fed2backed Yes | 24c | 83.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 64c | 80.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 63c | 79.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 74c | 77.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…9c96backed No | 77c | 77.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…af79backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa242…cd4bbacked Yes | 14c | 74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x107b…ecdfbacked Yes | 24c | 71.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.