Music · resolved market
Will 'Alligator Bites Never Heal' win Best Rap Album?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1325bbd55da1e65de564ea8b7e6213c806964d6794191a92ffa4e46fee7822c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 53c | 3,174$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.46 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 36c | 928.48$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8f39backed Yes | 80c | 802.81$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +200.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…8210backed No | 20c | 802.81$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 39c | 794.7$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.54 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 50c | 788.27$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.78 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 42c | 618$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.21 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 63c | 473.24$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.07 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 43c | 452$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 53c | 400.38$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.16 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x855a…6f7bbacked Yes | 64c | 265.48$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 58c | 254.2$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed No | 38c | 239.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 41c | 223.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed No | 40c | 214$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +184.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 39c | 192$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.53 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…143bbacked Yes | 32c | 161.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +210.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 62c | 157.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 59c | 142.92$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 59c | 136.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed No | 52c | 124.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 42c | 99.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed Yes | 80c | 98.93$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 50c | 72.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes | 29c | 61.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…b350backed Yes | 66c | 60.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…c4abbacked No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…a9a9backed Yes | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 30cpaid | +154.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…cec5backed No | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 65c | 42.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe40…e393backed Yes | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Yes | 55c | 35.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…0b81backed Yes | 55c | 21.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +29%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…57fabacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Alligator Bites Never Heal' win Best Rap Album?this page
- Will 'The Auditorium, Vol. 1' win Best Rap Album?No won
- Will 'The Death Of Slim Shady (Coup De Grǎce)' win Best Rap Album?No won
- Will 'We Don't Trust You' win Best Rap Album?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.