TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,335 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a12…01cebacked No70c9,269$6,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,500.882245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes53c4,685$2,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,211.782450%12 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes31c4,148$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,865.8314345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaf4…7883backed Yes24c3,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6727…db84backed No54c2,952$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No33c2,853$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.339826.5%26 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Yes39c2,563$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.424944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No70c1,533$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.446136.1%22 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes23c1,119$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.0410318.4%19 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes74c1,100$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No73c1,004$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.55438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Yes74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x685e…bb41backed Yes31c851.17$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.692128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7a…a9f8backed No25c780$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes63c760.83$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.3312445.2%56 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Yes27c740$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.82657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No17c686.1$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.653050%15 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed No75c599.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.992045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89e0…e058backed Yes77c579.82$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.741145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x741e…2f80backed Yes25c557.3$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.97837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3573…b6f9backed Yes76c510.79$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.591136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7cc…4952backed No73c500$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3651936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc303…113ebacked Yes30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+294%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b06…0b42backed No24c499.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x024f…2ec0backed Yes34c461.01$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.424100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+115.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked No28c451.44$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510036%36 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8435…526fbacked Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x084f…1a05backed Yes76c373.85$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182b…f022backed Yes23c300$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2312030%6 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes79c253$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1492…97dabacked Yes34c205.88$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.881225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb27d…fc9cbacked Yes56c203.57$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.57757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba7…c0edbacked Yes79c202.78$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-36.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ee3…10fdbacked Yes29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x120f…7956backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e73…a236backed Yes77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8024…ba91backed Yes38c196.19$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.512218.2%4 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9199…1f01backed Yes78c183.04$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed No78c178.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.98955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d9…3303backed No25c176$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc13…5e09backed Yes75c164.05$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.01785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+49.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes29c157.5$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.234837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-31.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71aa…1a55backed No25c154$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No46c149.96$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9618740.6%76 W · 111 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x509f…8fb7backed Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.061612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdfb…e569backed Yes79c144.57$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.361275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55bc…e673backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c6…b942backed Yes22c114$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bda…9b11backed Yes79c111.39$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed No23c110$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.151442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x530e…a4b2backed No25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+96%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed Yes41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6807…391ebacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5554…498dbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+86.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbee…dcf4backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+162.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad45…6fffbacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a71…954bbacked Yes22c90$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick31cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6cd…a8d9backed Yes30c90$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0232…9391backed Yes41c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.31050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c5…0166backed Yes72c68.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+166.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe267…d8ecbacked No74c62.79$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9efd…431fbacked Yes27c55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.91145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+55.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb58f…acffbacked Yes51c54.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d14…9039backed No75c44.27$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb4e…2aeebacked Yes24c42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d8…946cbacked Yes55c41.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab8…e781backed No73c41.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2e…4d83backed Yes75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102560%15 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff05…d35ebacked Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa723…d105backed Yes46c39.13$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb05…2de2backed No63c31.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c75…6a41backed Yes52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5977…2136backed Yes76c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1237…de46backed Yes75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab7…7177backed Yes75c24.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9821…e166backed Yes52c23.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c78…1e3abacked No66c22.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2e…8b5dbacked Yes80c22.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa52d…9505backed Yes65c21.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1d…e389backed Yes76c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b8…da98backed Yes79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.25977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed Yes74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-55.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.741580%12 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49e8…ce4ebacked Yes76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.