Tennis · resolved market
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x226b096e79950f36b0daebfac0637cfa6cc241d927c2bb7f19ddc5013c7437e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde44…2adcbacked Yes | 29c | 1,767$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 11c | 1,150$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.52 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 24c | 878$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.64 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 17c | 875$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +96%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 7c | 795$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 77c | 741.76$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.76 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed Yes | 21c | 656.75$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.92 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 75c | 569$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.25 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Yes | 8c | 550.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09cb…218ebacked Yes | 6c | 540$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 71c | 454.11$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 20c | 371.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Yes | 10c | 350$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 75c | 346.81$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Yes | 20c | 343$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 12c | 315$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1492…97dabacked Yes | 24c | 104$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e0…b762backed Yes | 16c | 95.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 77c | 73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38bc…296fbacked Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…fa0cbacked No | 80c | 68.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 23c | 51.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament?this page
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament?Yes won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament?No won
- Will another player win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament? Market Description:No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.