Tennis · resolved market
Will another player win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament? Market Description:
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dbf2b8eb1db9790f45add5d0b7f017a68136130baf07f9c5ef949621fc45d99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 8c | 4,180$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.72 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.4 | 103 | 18.4%19 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 14c | 1,694$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.7 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 32c | 1,149$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.54 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 4c | 1,052$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 78c | 787.35$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.22 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked No | 72c | 668.99$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed Yes | 29c | 573$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ef…144abacked Yes | 26c | 378.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 76c | 360$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e0…e058backed Yes | 35c | 291.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 65c | 288.57$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed No | 75c | 276.92$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…2f80backed No | 65c | 260.03$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked No | 74c | 247$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 10c | 239.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 22c | 216.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 7c | 190$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Yes | 11c | 185$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 72c | 173.93$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…8839backed No | 78c | 147.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…10fdbacked No | 69c | 115.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…e3c5backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 111$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…6fffbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…5760backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…1738backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7d…da59backed Yes | 17c | 95.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Yes | 30c | 83.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e8…ce4ebacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 25c | 63.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will another player win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament? Market Description:this page
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament?Yes won
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.