Token Launches · resolved market
Will Coinbase list $PEPE in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffae42f1c905d24dfef1d0f7336226ca6160c6ee9493ca00dea4fee0b4cf5054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x899d…07c8backed No | 2c | 15,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 77c | 1,988$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.65 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…807cbacked No | 80c | 1,798$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed No | 4c | 1,395$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…7f0bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,124$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +466.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 78c | 625.08$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.83 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…4a57backed Yes | 16c | 607.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.17 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…5099backed Yes | 20c | 482.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +397.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…d1c7backed Yes | 19c | 474.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +226%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…d41fbacked Yes | 37c | 403.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.33 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…1537backed Yes | 16c | 368.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…a338backed Yes | 29c | 345.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 26c | 311.96$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.19 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes | 19c | 281.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27a…1c07backed Yes | 18c | 222.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 19c | 218.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…1c05backed Yes | 32c | 216.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +209.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…60e6backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f30…93bdbacked Yes | 29c | 196.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 26c | 176.54$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed No | 65c | 169.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Yes | 18c | 149.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…322ebacked Yes | 20c | 138.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +408.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked No | 80c | 130$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10c3…db1dbacked Yes | 23c | 129.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +333.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af0…2f0bbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5049…d20cbacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 25cpaid | +401.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…2d20backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +181.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 24c | 116.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…0d54backed No | 75c | 110.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…f21dbacked Yes | 19c | 105$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…4805backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf050…fc5dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…3727backed Yes | 21c | 95.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +379.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…a3b9backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +246.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 26c | 81.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…6c42backed Yes | 19c | 77.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ac…84f3backed Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…6fc3backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…cdcbbacked No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Yes | 24c | 52.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 35c | 51.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…2dcbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…3175backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…c3a9backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…c812backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb21…58acbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f4…1b85backed Yes | 26c | 49.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +283.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e84…db61backed No | 65c | 48.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 31c | 47.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2043…e38dbacked Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…0673backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222f…8d06backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 73c | 15.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…ee29backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce03…acc6backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.