Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United beat Brighton?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12ab2929522e7eb01fd7152c9b4de692e2b3e2e41eb1361cf80e3ed5d2b34e56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7972…5ec0backed Yes | 40c | 54,833$21,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,677.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 62c | 26,687$16,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,026.94 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 76c | 26,653$20,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,514.26 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 9c | 11,892$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.11 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 60c | 8,184$4,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,273.48 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 64c | 4,246$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.19 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 64c | 3,996$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.12 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 37c | 3,995$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.98 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…9328backed Yes | 35c | 2,836$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…3e8dbacked Yes | 34c | 2,812$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…fa22backed Yes | 37c | 2,742$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 62c | 2,500$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.95 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed No | 61c | 1,939$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.7 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce8…4a44backed Yes | 38c | 1,674$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked No | 60c | 1,665$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 37c | 1,662$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.94 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 35c | 1,468$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.07 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2667…8334backed No | 65c | 1,386$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…9694backed Yes | 35c | 974.09$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1c96backed Yes | 39c | 931.21$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b51…df04backed No | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 63c | 839.97$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.63 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…51e4backed Yes | 37c | 547.54$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6329…beb2backed Yes | 37c | 435.84$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…7444backed Yes | 37c | 429.73$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 29c | 399.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…5f9dbacked No | 65c | 381.54$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 58c | 377.63$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.84 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…4a5bbacked Yes | 37c | 371.68$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 31c | 333.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7222…efedbacked No | 64c | 304.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…ea01backed No | 64c | 303.13$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9588…d801backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…9f87backed Yes | 37c | 299.46$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9638…b168backed No | 66c | 292.94$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…4b9cbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d7…8234backed Yes | 37c | 277.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…21d2backed Yes | 37c | 272.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…8b52backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x173f…201cbacked No | 66c | 269.26$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…9e02backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7b…f774backed No | 64c | 239.06$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cd…96a4backed No | 66c | 237.38$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c5…21b2backed No | 65c | 233.12$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad5f…c909backed No | 66c | 229.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…2e5ebacked Yes | 37c | 229.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 65c | 229.41$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf812…55c7backed No | 64c | 210.01$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…3b6fbacked No | 64c | 196$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 36c | 186.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…e25dbacked No | 66c | 181.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf281…3648backed No | 64c | 167.19$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…834cbacked No | 68c | 160.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 34c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992e…7abcbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 33c | 108.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked No | 62c | 103.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…8e39backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0896…6b4bbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +66%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…b978backed Yes | 37c | 91.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…7f5ebacked No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…2de6backed No | 65c | 67.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf223…3a58backed No | 65c | 64.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bab…4d7dbacked Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c40…0fd9backed Yes | 37c | 59.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd6…fe73backed Yes | 37c | 57.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…5b3fbacked Yes | 37c | 53.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c433backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…45bbbacked Yes | 38c | 51.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe110…16c5backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe894…cc4ebacked Yes | 36c | 50.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799f…a9ebbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…dd07backed No | 65c | 48.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 66c | 46.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e66…8cf9backed Yes | 29c | 45.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 23c | 44.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…c2f0backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…dc75backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…22eebacked Yes | 37c | 38.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1973…9fb5backed Yes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6890…a53dbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…cb64backed Yes | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…642abacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 61c | 24.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb83…033bbacked No | 65c | 16.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba07…a7dbbacked Yes | 70c | 15.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United beat Brighton?this page
- Will Brighton beat Manchester United?Yes won
- Will Brighton vs Manchester United end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.