Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton beat Manchester United?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab498101e02c4b56cb59cd4bdfd0832933052fc103621de008fa5aa9e4ea0cff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 48c | 1,474$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.14 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 62c | 1,314$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.28 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 40c | 1,003$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.1 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…9694backed Yes | 42c | 860.95$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed Yes | 42c | 765.2$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Yes | 68c | 650$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.3 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Yes | 40c | 505$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 60c | 502.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.58 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 50c | 493.97$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.04 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 61c | 472.23$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.17 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…3e8dbacked No | 59c | 410.93$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 37c | 383$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.49 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…834cbacked Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Yes | 55c | 349.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 42c | 329.35$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.02 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0896…6b4bbacked Yes | 20c | 324.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +66%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…8728backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef7e…bfd1backed Yes | 40c | 246.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Yes | 42c | 229.17$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed Yes | 69c | 225$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…d431backed No | 51c | 199.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7366…b134backed Yes | 13c | 197.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +255.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked Yes | 40c | 190.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.41 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…6153backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…246bbacked Yes | 62c | 117$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 40c | 106$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc751…990ebacked No | 63c | 102.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 42c | 98.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 61c | 92.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba7…c0edbacked No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ac77backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed No | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9937…738fbacked Yes | 26c | 66.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 33c | 59.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd6…fe73backed Yes | 40c | 54.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…1f51backed Yes | 53c | 50.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…2475backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 23c | 44.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…7e03backed No | 63c | 31.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 67cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…5b3fbacked No | 62c | 29.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…946cbacked Yes | 41c | 28.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…610abacked No | 62c | 26.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…9f7fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…c35fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…d6d7backed Yes | 41c | 24.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 60c | 22.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton beat Manchester United?this page
- Will Brighton vs Manchester United end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United beat Brighton?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.