Middle East · resolved market
U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23ec6857af1da21b58cc3c28bde7a451694ab56b6fb19902664b29cb5fab3f3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $294,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $272,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5c5…a736backed No | 20c | 22,000$4,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,496 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 14c | 19,261$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.7 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 11c | 15,135$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.11 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 2c | 12,384$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.14 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 78c | 10,214$8,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.33 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 13c | 9,689$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.72 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…74c2backed No | 47c | 8,536$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 4c | 8,461$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.87 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 7c | 7,858$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.22 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 24c | 6,000$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.95 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 6c | 5,432$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.22 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 19c | 5,293$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.9 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…4ccabacked No | 10c | 5,101$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked No | 20c | 4,888$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.44 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x831e…8db9backed No | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed No | 13c | 3,769$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.34 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…adc5backed No | 16c | 3,735$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 3c | 3,443$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.91 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 8c | 3,306$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.8 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…a160backed No | 7c | 3,109$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x712a…f8a8backed No | 13c | 3,107$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0d…546fbacked No | 33c | 2,435$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked No | 17c | 2,322$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.97 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 74c | 2,143$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.97 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed No | 19c | 2,020$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.8 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb62…1d05backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf203…c9cfbacked No | 12c | 1,843$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked No | 16c | 1,763$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 74c | 1,700$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.54 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 7c | 1,600$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 7c | 1,137$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 13c | 1,098$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.33 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -9.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…4639backed No | 10c | 953.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…4c84backed No | 12c | 813.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb1…87c7backed No | 8c | 810.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 19c | 809.04$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.77 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked No | 19c | 802.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…b694backed No | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed No | 10c | 794.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…e136backed No | 23c | 764$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…dcbdbacked No | 23c | 655.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…aa22backed No | 21c | 638.15$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed No | 9c | 627.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a63…be7bbacked No | 35c | 608.3$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff6…83b3backed No | 8c | 592.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…e2f0backed No | 21c | 587.46$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e5…3a68backed No | 23c | 570.1$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…bba9backed Yes | 70c | 550$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250a…6d1dbacked Yes | 64c | 535.76$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…ee29backed Yes | 79c | 533.21$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…68ddbacked No | 7c | 516.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…52ccbacked No | 36c | 508.11$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc280…de71backed No | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…740fbacked No | 10c | 500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -91.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc786…d82ebacked No | 11c | 500$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…93fdbacked No | 27c | 493.29$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.13 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…f8f3backed No | 41c | 492.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 27c | 458.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked No | 6c | 454.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819c…14ffbacked No | 45c | 447.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…31edbacked No | 25c | 416.66$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed No | 32c | 385.58$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.27 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e61…60a0backed No | 14c | 383.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…e7cabacked No | 10c | 380$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 30c | 361.48$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 69c | 349.99$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed Yes | 55c | 345$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.9 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x247b…9128backed No | 29c | 341.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ed88backed No | 9c | 337.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c1…b7d6backed No | 10c | 334.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…0c5ebacked No | 52c | 319.93$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a58…aca8backed No | 16c | 302.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…6358backed No | 20c | 301.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…2192backed No | 15c | 300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x65fb…92cabacked Yes | 78c | 300$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d4b6backed No | 21c | 280.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 26c | 268.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed No | 12c | 268.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf59…6b27backed No | 19c | 268.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 11c | 261.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be2…962abacked Yes | 77c | 258.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…06cfbacked No | 63c | 256.27$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaa…34babacked No | 51c | 236.46$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa1…6594backed No | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed No | 44c | 227.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914c…e766backed No | 25c | 222$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed No | 25c | 220.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf2…9621backed No | 9c | 219.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 26cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…cf2fbacked Yes | 73c | 216$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…4253backed Yes | 78c | 210.02$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e11…c72cbacked No | 26c | 208$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e99…9206backed No | 11c | 202.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 7c | 201.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…d8e6backed No | 21c | 200.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…70f3backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…2c25backed No | 26c | 193.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 19c | 185.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8960…93fbbacked No | 11c | 169.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…68b0backed No | 18c | 167.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.