World Politics · resolved market
Will the Liberal Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb824217cff94afaaad1faba11ee42936b40f1a7202a5510093a6030a18e017b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $534,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $534,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c00…b587backed No | 46c | 103,955$47,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,135.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…1104backed Yes | 54c | 103,955$56,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,135.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 40c | 32,358$13,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,004.47 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b0…1d3fbacked Yes | 26c | 31,133$8,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,094.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53c…563bbacked No | 74c | 31,133$23,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,094.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 27c | 28,520$7,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,591.1 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4573…51b7backed Yes | 27c | 22,282$6,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,016.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97db…8513backed No | 73c | 22,282$16,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,016.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Yes | 22c | 7,058$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 31c | 6,880$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.52 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 13c | 6,320$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.61 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…79eabacked Yes | 40c | 5,230$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.29 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 44c | 4,911$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.67 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 68c | 4,589$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked No | 45c | 3,738$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +195.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea9…d092backed Yes | 62c | 3,367$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 59c | 3,166$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.11 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29fc…06b0backed Yes | 46c | 2,711$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.78 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked Yes | 60c | 2,669$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…8bc2backed Yes | 55c | 2,650$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.14 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 63c | 2,637$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.92 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed Yes | 61c | 2,507$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.45 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…1d0abacked Yes | 53c | 2,236$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.99 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -6.1wins | -0.47per pick | 54cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce1…5f46backed Yes | 40c | 2,178$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 55c | 2,132$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.12 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 48c | 1,926$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.01 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…b536backed Yes | 69c | 1,760$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.8wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 55c | 1,691$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.13 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.6 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,494$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.04 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 69c | 1,460$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.56 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 24c | 1,450$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.35 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 65c | 1,437$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.37 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,421$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.83 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee8…1805backed Yes | 69c | 1,413$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 70c | 1,140$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Yes | 38c | 1,133$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.46 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 49c | 1,086$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.52 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +165%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 62c | 999.96$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.98 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 17c | 964.24$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.18 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 35c | 958.58$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.19 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77b…24abbacked Yes | 16c | 897.78$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e55…2b2abacked Yes | 33c | 867.99$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.81 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…febfbacked Yes | 29c | 729.81$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.4 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf88…bc20backed Yes | 22c | 700$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113e…3febbacked Yes | 31c | 700$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…cab5backed No | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdd…31acbacked Yes | 59c | 677.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed No | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 54c | 566.15$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.8 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4145…fc24backed Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…0df8backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed No | 29c | 487.2$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.69 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2c…dc30backed No | 80c | 449.8$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed No | 73c | 436.9$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.96 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 29c | 417.11$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 398.63$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.98 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…d30bbacked Yes | 23c | 376.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Yes | 41c | 367.8$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.03 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 66c | 332.98$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.44 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 67c | 313.97$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 62c | 293.24$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.98 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 18c | 284.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…8bc8backed Yes | 21c | 284$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…ae58backed Yes | 42c | 283$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed No | 57c | 280$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab39…c22fbacked Yes | 12c | 272$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…4549backed Yes | 28c | 266$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5468…d86ebacked Yes | 58c | 246.56$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 35c | 240$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6735…1e6cbacked No | 28c | 240$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab11…e318backed Yes | 22c | 233.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 68c | 233$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a47…7177backed Yes | 65c | 232.22$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 64c | 230$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…766dbacked Yes | 20c | 230$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed Yes | 44c | 229$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 57c | 204.71$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…9318backed Yes | 28c | 201$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…aaadbacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…c7aabacked Yes | 44c | 177.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 73c | 159.88$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e9…9f36backed Yes | 60c | 157.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bf…f9f2backed No | 28c | 154$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0059…6a87backed No | 42c | 153.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffdb…411dbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fa…2891backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7284…4f6cbacked Yes | 55c | 147.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…6351backed Yes | 72c | 145$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…8adcbacked Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf10…1412backed No | 43c | 137.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7297…9911backed Yes | 72c | 135$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eeb…a7e9backed No | 36c | 133.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…06b1backed Yes | 28c | 133$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…c775backed Yes | 27c | 131.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed No | 52c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 61c | 124.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Liberal Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?this page
- Will Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No won
- Will another party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No won
- Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes won
- Will the Green Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No won
- Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No won
- Will the People's party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.