World Politics · resolved market
Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5663d39d2e7dd9345f616eb3f873c0109d96a52076e2185bdecb7135006d59e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $788,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $802,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $788,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 48c | 101,386$48,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,156.01 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed1…12a8backed No | 54c | 99,483$54,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,019.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba75…5eedbacked Yes | 46c | 99,483$45,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,019.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…31f1backed Yes | 72c | 29,411$21,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,235.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…8cf8backed No | 28c | 29,411$8,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,235.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 76c | 28,706$21,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,906.79 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ff…b518backed Yes | 67c | 28,345$18,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,438.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179b…4398backed No | 33c | 28,345$9,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,438.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4573…51b7backed No | 30c | 22,175$6,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,630.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f2…0932backed Yes | 70c | 22,175$15,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,630.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 2c | 17,285$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,872.51 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b8…f0cbbacked Yes | 71c | 12,515$8,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,614.96 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 53c | 10,000$5,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,685.16 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…bbb8backed Yes | 5c | 9,538$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,037.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,223%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 43c | 9,502$4,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,372.75 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 13c | 8,465$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.1 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x29fc…06b0backed Yes | 47c | 7,773$3,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089.21 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf330…f779backed Yes | 25c | 7,117$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,353.16 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 17c | 6,793$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,609.44 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 24c | 6,628$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.15 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…dd03backed Yes | 5c | 6,583$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,283.06 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 75c | 5,999$4,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.75 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 21c | 5,929$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,711.37 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 57c | 5,921$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.29 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb30f…9505backed Yes | 31c | 5,366$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…1d0abacked No | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -6.1wins | -0.47per pick | 54cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 74c | 4,786$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.34 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed Yes | 49c | 4,010$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.23 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 66c | 3,634$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.87 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 57c | 3,290$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.44 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,280$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked Yes | 4c | 3,000$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +195.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 20c | 2,950$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.56 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed Yes | 3c | 2,680$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.32 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…23ffbacked Yes | 57c | 2,660$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 9c | 2,474$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.6 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…773cbacked Yes | 73c | 2,053$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77b…24abbacked Yes | 43c | 2,016$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…5554backed Yes | 1c | 1,850$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 2cpaid | +4,087.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 71c | 1,529$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.82 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed No | 28c | 1,481$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.28 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 68c | 1,426$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.39 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 1c | 1,363$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed Yes | 25c | 1,344$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.56 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 51c | 1,284$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.85 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa767…1cb1backed No | 14c | 1,196$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked No | 72c | 1,065$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 79c | 1,047$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.89 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381d…f6b2backed Yes | 4c | 1,045$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 6cpaid | +1,027.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,020$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.92 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed No | 19c | 1,000$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +165%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…0800backed Yes | 79c | 1,000$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ded…5eadbacked No | 35c | 995$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519a…2ec7backed Yes | 76c | 990$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 65c | 888.92$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.8 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 2c | 765.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.82 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 29c | 754.8$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.86 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…8bc8backed No | 20c | 705$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.37 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 27c | 667.94$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.17 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x909d…41f3backed Yes | 79c | 650$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 71c | 644.85$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.91 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab11…e318backed Yes | 77c | 635.16$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 73c | 600$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 21c | 583.26$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7b76backed Yes | 70c | 550.93$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.95 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 71cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…79eabacked No | 21c | 532.02$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.22 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Yes | 74c | 519.79$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.04 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf88…bc20backed No | 20c | 494.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 33c | 460.79$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.89 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9b…ae91backed No | 26c | 399.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffdb…411dbacked Yes | 66c | 363.09$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7364…d44ebacked Yes | 79c | 351.53$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…47bdbacked Yes | 66c | 350.58$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…8bc2backed Yes | 67c | 349$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.58 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x956f…e875backed Yes | 65c | 315.41$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed No | 73c | 301$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.43 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a1…57b9backed Yes | 79c | 290$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…ae58backed No | 43c | 280$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 75c | 277$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…e89bbacked Yes | 52c | 261.04$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +161.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…2cc0backed Yes | 61c | 254.79$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…47c6backed Yes | 77c | 251$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 73c | 250$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes | 79c | 250$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…4846backed Yes | 80c | 234.01$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 74cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 35c | 233.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed No | 45c | 229$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59bf…9a5fbacked No | 23c | 221.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…8491backed Yes | 45c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…64a5backed Yes | 75c | 196.62$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe10…8d89backed Yes | 51c | 194.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80b5…19b9backed Yes | 75c | 188.13$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b0…f9a8backed No | 55c | 170$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 27c | 168.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 21c | 167.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.82 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 15c | 160$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 25c | 157.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071a…df8ebacked Yes | 79c | 151.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4987…93f2backed Yes | 76c | 148.12$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…828ebacked No | 26c | 135.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?this page
- Will Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No won
- Will another party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No won
- Will the Green Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No won
- Will the Liberal Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No won
- Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No won
- Will the People's party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.