Movies · resolved market
Will Adrien Brody win the Golden Globe for Best Actor - Drama?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52773f020d6df03ec9badee157bc5aedf8c107280cef9c8f06dccd92313d16fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a86…b39ebacked No | 37c | 3,859$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 36c | 3,741$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 66c | 3,001$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 36c | 2,058$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 38cpaid | +152.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…51b7backed Yes | 64c | 1,956$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…40e0backed Yes | 68c | 1,556$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 61c | 1,500$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.89 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Yes | 67c | 1,128$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 66c | 702.46$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…6069backed Yes | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 35c | 651.23$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 61c | 634$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 65c | 563.96$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 39c | 525$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.75 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 63c | 500$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 19c | 496.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.57 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 66c | 402.1$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.54 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 63c | 397.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 38c | 320$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 67c | 277.53$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 65c | 241.58$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Yes | 65c | 231$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…35febacked Yes | 65c | 230.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf365…64ecbacked Yes | 72c | 202.6$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff0…a0edbacked Yes | 63c | 183$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…227dbacked Yes | 65c | 181.4$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 70c | 168$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…1824backed No | 37c | 160.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…19c0backed Yes | 64c | 160.23$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…0e56backed No | 34c | 153.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 65c | 152.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…16fbbacked Yes | 66c | 150.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…f38bbacked Yes | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…3cf7backed Yes | 66c | 131.82$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 63c | 126.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 63c | 126$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…c9bfbacked Yes | 65c | 123.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 64c | 120.44$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed Yes | 62c | 115.15$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2e…3b1cbacked Yes | 64c | 101.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ca5fbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…7dd1backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…8114backed Yes | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 67c | 95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 61c | 93.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 37c | 92.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 35c | 85.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16f5…667ebacked Yes | 62c | 80.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…162cbacked Yes | 61c | 77.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e68…c503backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949d…8d32backed Yes | 63c | 74.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed Yes | 62c | 63.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9642…30a7backed No | 35c | 61.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef0…4cdcbacked Yes | 78c | 57.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…22bcbacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…806fbacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd477…6c04backed No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…1446backed No | 36c | 47.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f5…1630backed No | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…b3b2backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 36c | 42.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Yes | 60c | 40.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…93fdbacked Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…5585backed Yes | 65c | 37.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de7…80ebbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…9344backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa46e…28debacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb144…8db4backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 70c | 30.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aba4backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…5b14backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6461…1052backed Yes | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…ad95backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2faa…f758backed Yes | 65c | 24.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…0fb4backed Yes | 74c | 20.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…eacfbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f4…61b1backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…5b2cbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf2…6432backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe608…0c2cbacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f0…f2b0backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fc…8d90backed Yes | 75c | 17.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5259…2973backed Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Adrien Brody win the Golden Globe for Best Actor - Drama?this page
- Will Colman Domingo win the Golden Globe for Best Actor - Drama?No won
- Will Daniel Craig win the Golden Globe for Best Actor - Drama?No won
- Will Ralph Fiennes win the Golden Globe for Best Actor - Drama?No won
- Will Sebastian Stan win the Golden Globe for Best Actor - Drama?No won
- Will Timothée Chalamet win the Golden Globe for Best Actor - Drama?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.