Movies · resolved market
Will 'The Brutalist' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf38cc15d9824916962fc3f6adcd04083a016f9e427f9efed59449915f73c4204
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21d0…d64dbacked Yes | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…e142backed No | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0804…0e63backed No | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 58c | 773.37$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.37 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 47c | 731.65$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 44c | 644.31$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.42 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 43c | 600$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Yes | 27c | 566.6$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.29 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 47c | 475$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 39c | 425$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.91 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e9…d7e5backed Yes | 43c | 425$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…ae55backed Yes | 34c | 411.18$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed No | 55c | 361.74$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.98 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 55c | 350.77$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.42 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb940…deb0backed Yes | 43c | 335$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…b39ebacked No | 55c | 330.91$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.91 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…e588backed No | 60c | 315$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 43c | 303.43$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.89 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba74…414bbacked No | 57c | 295$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Yes | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 57c | 239.44$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd7…0975backed No | 57c | 220$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…494fbacked Yes | 43c | 220$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…9c95backed Yes | 43c | 210$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…4223backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +406%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2e…c139backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c7…122ebacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 33c | 199.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…77efbacked Yes | 40c | 180$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 73c | 172.11$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…4e3abacked No | 57c | 170$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a73…4fafbacked Yes | 43c | 170$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6899…6853backed Yes | 47c | 166.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 50c | 160.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…56bbbacked No | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…076fbacked No | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a5…d8efbacked No | 57c | 155$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Yes | 26c | 153.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…d2cfbacked No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…35febacked Yes | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…1d83backed Yes | 44c | 142$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c2…1034backed No | 56c | 142$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…c9bfbacked Yes | 46c | 142$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 49c | 140.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…4325backed Yes | 50c | 136.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…5d92backed Yes | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…e0d3backed No | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b4…f307backed Yes | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…5764backed Yes | 45c | 124$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7955…8298backed No | 55c | 124$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…e5a1backed Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked No | 71c | 102.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…6a0bbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80fd…3fcdbacked No | 57c | 89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3059…e806backed Yes | 43c | 89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…5bdfbacked Yes | 28c | 85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 29c | 84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 35c | 83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…cab8backed Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…e1fbbacked Yes | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f90…f42ebacked No | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7330…fb6bbacked No | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…f38bbacked Yes | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Yes | 47c | 73.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 51c | 58.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 38cpaid | +152.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…63fabacked Yes | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…a3a5backed Yes | 49c | 54.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d1…b981backed No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be3…aebfbacked Yes | 28c | 51.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…0cdfbacked Yes | 42c | 51.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff0…a0edbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6342…6e25backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…3050backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…9344backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…011fbacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc14…7b7cbacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11f…9a86backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955d…1622backed No | 57c | 30.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…ca32backed Yes | 43c | 30.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…5bc2backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…2464backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4185…ae74backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…a931backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…aa50backed Yes | 65c | 29.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…714ebacked No | 58c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4624…5e88backed No | 69c | 20.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa648…76ecbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ca5fbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'The Brutalist' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?this page
- Will 'Challengers' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?Yes won
- Will 'Conclave' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?No won
- Will 'Dune: Part Two' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?No won
- Will 'Emilia Pérez' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?No won
- Will 'The Wild Robot' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.