Movies · resolved market
Will 'Conclave' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad74e01b17e95504e6f7925493783f57a75499e455613f26b9548422cdec5bc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb522…4d42backed Yes | 44c | 21,900$9,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,636 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…afc0backed No | 56c | 11,030$6,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,853.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…477fbacked No | 56c | 10,900$6,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,796 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…b39ebacked No | 69c | 1,160$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c2…b520backed No | 53c | 985$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdb…8b51backed Yes | 47c | 985$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…e6b8backed Yes | 47c | 985$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd232…cff0backed No | 53c | 985$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4c…886cbacked Yes | 47c | 938$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…e6f7backed No | 53c | 938$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5280…2807backed Yes | 48c | 938$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…6cd5backed No | 55c | 938$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…40e0backed Yes | 45c | 938$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc2…7957backed Yes | 45c | 938$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…1673backed No | 55c | 937.99$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…e3f3backed No | 52c | 749.01$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 31c | 597.86$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.77 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Yes | 32c | 554.87$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 541.02$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.79 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 47c | 534.32$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.26 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 66c | 444.35$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.58 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 32c | 374$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…6e62backed No | 73c | 330$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…fd03backed Yes | 27c | 330$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…35febacked Yes | 46c | 325.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 28c | 320$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 54c | 315.35$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.41 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 28c | 297$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce8…448abacked No | 74c | 295$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5236…6b6bbacked No | 69c | 295$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…ea68backed Yes | 31c | 295$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…c342backed Yes | 30c | 290$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…68e9backed No | 70c | 290$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…ccdabacked No | 69c | 280$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…7627backed Yes | 31c | 280$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 52c | 271.12$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.68 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7afa…da4ebacked Yes | 31c | 270$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…be62backed No | 69c | 270$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…6668backed No | 69c | 270$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ad…260bbacked No | 74c | 265$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532d…1f25backed Yes | 26c | 265$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…1d70backed No | 69c | 265$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…ed3bbacked Yes | 32c | 260$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…e97abacked No | 68c | 260$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…6c47backed No | 69c | 260$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23c…2916backed No | 69c | 260$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…0704backed Yes | 31c | 260$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…f827backed No | 69c | 260$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…2cd0backed Yes | 31c | 260$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…3d04backed Yes | 31c | 260$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7507…fd58backed No | 69c | 259$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41d…badcbacked Yes | 31c | 259$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8501…b4cabacked No | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…8e1cbacked No | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27e…f376backed Yes | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…47febacked Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe9…5f4fbacked Yes | 31c | 245$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d4…c467backed No | 69c | 245$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2411…c566backed Yes | 31c | 245$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed No | 50c | 244.81$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa564…aa16backed Yes | 32c | 240$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked No | 51c | 239.1$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 51c | 234.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a7…a1c6backed Yes | 27c | 230$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa523…df20backed No | 73c | 230$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…9001backed Yes | 26c | 230$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa418…060ebacked Yes | 26c | 225$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf467…706cbacked No | 74c | 225$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c9…8b82backed No | 67c | 220$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1661…f358backed Yes | 33c | 220$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f25…eb5ebacked Yes | 32c | 210$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…66ecbacked No | 68c | 210$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 50c | 204.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x192b…9d69backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3765…2e63backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd54f…c0c5backed Yes | 27c | 190$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…6ed5backed No | 73c | 190$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed No | 69c | 189$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…a176backed No | 73c | 180$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f3…ae8dbacked Yes | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 72c | 177.84$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6a…0aadbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 54c | 164.39$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc0…10f2backed No | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 34c | 154$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c65fbacked No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…ef18backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4076…b236backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…0892backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…ab52backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…d856backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…ba3cbacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2781…2213backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…143bbacked No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 53c | 141.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b27…e31bbacked No | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd718…055ebacked Yes | 27c | 140$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…d217backed No | 70c | 135$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Conclave' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?this page
- Will 'Challengers' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?Yes won
- Will 'Dune: Part Two' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?No won
- Will 'Emilia Pérez' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?No won
- Will 'The Brutalist' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?No won
- Will 'The Wild Robot' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.