Ukraine · resolved market
Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b1470a1d83fe0e9e5e7edfd68ca0517fdd1386e412d2203d27a5c2832ed60c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,098,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $891,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,098,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbcee…dd25backed No | 1c | 200,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed No | 0c | 169,078$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.02 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked No | 0c | 24,878$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x049d…0f3fbacked No | 3c | 20,901$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 19,309$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.59 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a66…9bc0backed No | 4c | 12,101$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…417dbacked No | 0c | 11,375$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8967…1e9bbacked No | 6c | 11,207$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 1c | 10,748$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…0342backed No | 0c | 10,739$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b2…0099backed No | 0c | 10,735$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 10,595$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd27…ce56backed No | 0c | 9,183$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…0400backed No | 1c | 9,144$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005f…b5aebacked No | 0c | 8,803$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 7c | 7,805$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.14 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…3b89backed No | 1c | 6,971$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…a2b3backed No | 0c | 6,673$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a4…1b1cbacked No | 2c | 6,419$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 5,806$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed No | 8c | 5,768$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e1…52bbbacked No | 0c | 3,927$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…6a53backed No | 8c | 3,645$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.72 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 4c | 3,425$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa012…48bfbacked No | 1c | 3,317$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f6…d1d8backed No | 1c | 3,030$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf036…9c9fbacked No | 5c | 2,767$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccc…a831backed No | 7c | 2,715$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…fb35backed No | 1c | 2,667$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed No | 7c | 2,606$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.72 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…3219backed No | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed No | 8c | 2,308$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…399cbacked No | 1c | 2,228$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…2ef5backed No | 1c | 2,223$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…d6c9backed No | 3c | 2,009$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed No | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…054fbacked No | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…19cfbacked No | 1c | 1,846$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed No | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x543e…8253backed No | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…9313backed No | 4c | 1,352$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 1,348$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…054cbacked No | 1c | 1,347$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…8665backed No | 6c | 1,304$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed No | 9c | 1,302$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed No | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…e4f2backed No | 1c | 1,207$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…0242backed No | 4c | 1,070$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…f5aebacked No | 3c | 1,020$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…aebabacked No | 1c | 1,018$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4efbbacked No | 1c | 1,017$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…f8c2backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ab…c99abacked No | 6c | 999.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed No | 7c | 999.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b2…4e48backed No | 7c | 999.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1505…ec9cbacked No | 4c | 971.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e3…9136backed No | 9c | 868.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked No | 8c | 851.39$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb53…4502backed No | 4c | 844.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed No | 6c | 800$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed No | 7c | 790.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…123ebacked No | 3c | 744.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd757…94aabacked No | 5c | 720.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e46…9800backed No | 4c | 716.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e0…e891backed No | 1c | 673.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 666.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…94c7backed No | 4c | 627.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…d147backed No | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f8…4910backed No | 4c | 560.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -61%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…3633backed No | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d62cbacked No | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a5…5ac2backed No | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…494cbacked No | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351c…7648backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a2…6becbacked No | 8c | 459.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 9c | 448.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf409…e0fabacked No | 4c | 446.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…3c2abacked No | 2c | 430.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 6c | 383.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…d6fabacked No | 4c | 375.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…6fddbacked No | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb943…777dbacked No | 8c | 369.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…f59cbacked No | 5c | 344.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…37ecbacked No | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…0978backed No | 5c | 298.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…f9e9backed No | 8c | 236.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…adbebacked No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed No | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…ee26backed No | 8c | 183.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1841…c63dbacked No | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf321…a368backed No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddb…7a9bbacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…dfaebacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.