World Politics · resolved market
Will Inuit Ataqatigiit win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97aae34b8373c1427f2de182a6fef4b0d3afbf68d6c9dbb745ece1799e58f613
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked Yes | 1c | 137,213$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.49 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8e…0045backed No | 6c | 12,679$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,942.53 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 33c | 4,615$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 3c | 4,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 7c | 3,881$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625.2 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 3c | 2,031$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,856$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…2b2cbacked No | 6c | 1,674$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +142%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked No | 6c | 1,577$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.19 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…d154backed Yes | 6c | 1,501$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked No | 7c | 1,272$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.15 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…2167backed No | 6c | 1,148$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +645.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 7c | 1,008$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.24 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…d285backed Yes | 17c | 905.91$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 3c | 900$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 58c | 821.88$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.85 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 4c | 759$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 6c | 625$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.09 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 6c | 502.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.49 | 125 | 6.4%8 W · 117 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 23c | 381.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.79 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 4c | 379.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.95 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…e7eebacked Yes | 6c | 205$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 6c | 200$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 8c | 192.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.74 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 65c | 177$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…0e0bbacked Yes | 58c | 171.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb296…0d53backed No | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cb…8e37backed Yes | 9c | 118.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed Yes | 58c | 114.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…47bdbacked No | 79c | 108$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 11c | 102.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 13c | 99.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f6…275bbacked Yes | 59c | 98.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4145…fc24backed Yes | 57c | 88.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1577…8949backed Yes | 55c | 81.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…33c1backed Yes | 58c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…314dbacked Yes | 62c | 64.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 62c | 54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 30c | 52.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be5…a0bcbacked Yes | 57c | 52.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x826c…fadcbacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655f…b5fdbacked Yes | 58c | 38.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…6f57backed Yes | 60c | 29.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…2cbbbacked Yes | 58c | 28.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -60%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e81…f609backed Yes | 57c | 18.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inuit Ataqatigiit win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?this page
- Will Atassut win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?No won
- Will Democrats win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will Naleraq win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?No won
- Will Siumut win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.