China Taiwan · resolved market
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https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12852f3ccc565a833bc18418c8219268bf35e03e60bb50962469b5b05b1c6926
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f8e…6a53backed Yes | 55c | 29,896$16,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,353.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 49c | 20,100$9,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,915.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 75c | 18,862$14,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 33c | 12,658$4,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,154.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 0c | 9,958$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed No | 0c | 9,451$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 69c | 9,225$6,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…89cfbacked Yes | 72c | 5,298$3,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 4c | 5,191$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.37 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 52c | 5,011$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 34c | 4,315$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 37c | 3,417$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8236…7c8cbacked No | 19c | 3,054$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd7…eb50backed Yes | 73c | 2,669$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbc…ed7cbacked No | 1c | 2,610$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed Yes | 47c | 2,601$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…3232backed No | 66c | 2,485$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 66c | 2,350$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked No | 33c | 2,102$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…196cbacked No | 7c | 1,832$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba74…73a7backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 70c | 1,365$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2d…c1e2backed No | 41c | 1,300$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d05…f421backed No | 1c | 1,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 65c | 1,292$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…d32abacked No | 37c | 1,192$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 26c | 1,163$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 67c | 1,159$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.3 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 27c | 1,153$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.2 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…fed5backed No | 35c | 1,012$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed Yes | 45c | 1,011$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 69c | 1,000$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +5.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +216%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…fd9fbacked Yes | 36c | 970.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…af58backed No | 59c | 920.3$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…87cfbacked Yes | 72c | 758.75$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 74c | 723$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…2322backed No | 18c | 705.44$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 31c | 693.8$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…9d82backed No | 65c | 686.23$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9b…a02bbacked No | 30c | 661.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…e6b8backed Yes | 76c | 653.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 28c | 634.47$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.97 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c85…9c78backed Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed No | 46c | 600$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 71c | 599$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…19f1backed Yes | 35c | 570.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 26c | 528$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…34ecbacked No | 32c | 500.87$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…d727backed No | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfd…184bbacked No | 31c | 484$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 8c | 456$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 29c | 453.72$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 35c | 419.71$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed No | 30c | 390.81$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e69…e630backed No | 16c | 382.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked No | 24c | 357.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1998…be8cbacked No | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd746…02d8backed No | 13c | 344.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 36c | 343.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.87 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…336abacked No | 14c | 330.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed No | 15c | 322.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 32c | 310$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 65c | 305.41$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 11c | 295.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…131bbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 45c | 273.43$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed No | 18c | 264$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322b…6fabbacked No | 64c | 258.02$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked Yes | 40c | 246.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…8765backed Yes | 46c | 236.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64cf…8a8abacked No | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed No | 19c | 234.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 25c | 220$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 37c | 217.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 63c | 216.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a5…5ac2backed Yes | 34c | 215$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 21c | 209$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked No | 16c | 207.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Yes | 68c | 206.14$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 73c | 204.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…2882backed No | 64c | 199.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 31c | 189.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ea…f995backed No | 29c | 173.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed No | 13c | 173.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…85fabacked No | 52c | 165.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…92c9backed No | 62c | 162$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked Yes | 69c | 156$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…1ee3backed No | 66c | 151.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked No | 65c | 146.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ada…1fedbacked No | 66c | 145.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 63c | 145$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…7493backed No | 32c | 137.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefda…7da5backed No | 18c | 135.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…fb2abacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.