Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51728d41c54059b7d4aa9dd4d1f668de21f7f5994005e7dd1d1427cf6c618e9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 30c | 4,075$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.38 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 78c | 2,987$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.53 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 9c | 2,489$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.77 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 18c | 2,458$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.93 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82a3…88d0backed Yes | 10c | 2,448$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…6387backed Yes | 23c | 2,289$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 11c | 2,039$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.18 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 24c | 2,027$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.24 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 16c | 1,584$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.23 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 23c | 1,489$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.92 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,423$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 4c | 1,359$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 6c | 1,261$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 1c | 1,187$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…a3aebacked Yes | 22c | 1,103$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.34 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…37e4backed No | 76c | 1,100$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 67c | 1,020$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.29 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 76c | 984.8$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.77 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 22c | 942.32$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.06 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 24c | 811.74$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.61 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 20c | 799.32$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.2 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 791.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 11c | 713$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 22c | 701.35$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.35 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 5c | 684.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae89…9fb7backed Yes | 11c | 600.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 19c | 522.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6e…5c3dbacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 10c | 460.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c2…e511backed No | 77c | 445.12$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…72eebacked Yes | 14c | 425.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…4b34backed No | 54c | 415.41$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.29 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 15c | 409.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked Yes | 20c | 366.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…7cccbacked Yes | 6c | 314.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 65c | 292.17$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.26 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 15c | 280.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb49e…45ccbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 24c | 260$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed No | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 10c | 245$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -11.1wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 29c | 217.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e9…a493backed Yes | 20c | 215.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 11c | 213.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269a…0837backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7e…4a5bbacked Yes | 50c | 200.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…d0d0backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 16c | 175.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fe…1779backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 17c | 168$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…66c4backed Yes | 30c | 167.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed Yes | 31c | 165.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 10c | 159.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 10c | 153$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7313…cbbcbacked No | 43c | 135.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…bfbbbacked Yes | 30c | 127.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e18…c679backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed No | 71c | 101.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…a557backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…6460backed Yes | 23c | 97.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 17c | 97.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 35c | 96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9de…0dc5backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 76c | 79.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 43 | 86%37 W · 6 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…67dbbacked Yes | 31c | 74.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 31c | 74.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa291…d88dbacked Yes | 47c | 73.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed No | 72c | 68.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d34…b9fdbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x156c…ad2abacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…8749backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fae…ce9fbacked Yes | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 25c | 42.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8b…713bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe993…12c4backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…4bdfbacked No | 72c | 27.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba3c…2e4ebacked No | 71c | 26.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa587…82d1backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.