World Politics · resolved market
Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f1737ae1118031c54256b0809a4eebeebc6c5f03d71bedafdb76e4fc589a3a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $493,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $480,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe638…0c1bbacked Yes | 31c | 26,000$8,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,060 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…0153backed No | 68c | 24,000$16,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,680 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…2453backed Yes | 30c | 23,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7624…03b7backed Yes | 37c | 23,000$8,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b6…9b04backed No | 49c | 20,100$9,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,251 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…d1abbacked No | 69c | 13,000$8,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…4536backed No | 69c | 13,000$8,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae93…67cbbacked Yes | 32c | 13,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…766abacked No | 70c | 12,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…2a0bbacked No | 63c | 12,000$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5311…512ebacked No | 63c | 11,000$6,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,070 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…b8a4backed No | 70c | 11,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25aa…c8c7backed Yes | 32c | 11,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e61…57d2backed Yes | 51c | 10,100$5,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,151 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…084ebacked Yes | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15af…e753backed Yes | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 72c | 6,893$4,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.89 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed Yes | 0c | 6,424$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 47c | 5,585$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.5 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -71%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…9eb3backed No | 49c | 5,500$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 2c | 5,457$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3604…e041backed Yes | 2c | 5,184$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,066$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked No | 56c | 4,691$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.03 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…6f2bbacked No | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 57c | 3,452$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.14 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e09…c03abacked Yes | 4c | 3,133$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 46c | 3,082$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 5c | 2,447$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…5554backed Yes | 2c | 2,333$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 2cpaid | +4,087.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…6ab8backed Yes | 59c | 2,219$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +261.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 44c | 2,000$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…890cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,825$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 3c | 1,625$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed No | 35c | 1,611$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.74 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,362$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.69 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf321…a368backed Yes | 17c | 1,239$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 41c | 1,213$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.67 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…7e06backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…7afdbacked Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff84…e50dbacked No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…0e1ebacked No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc804…a24ebacked No | 55c | 980$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…19cbbacked No | 55c | 980$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f76…1421backed Yes | 45c | 980$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…7524backed Yes | 45c | 980$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed No | 53c | 925.5$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.4 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb7…7398backed Yes | 43c | 900$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…1273backed No | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 65c | 900$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x083a…ed79backed Yes | 43c | 900$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…64d8backed No | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 1c | 851$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a8…da85backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf299…5e83backed Yes | 2c | 813.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…67efbacked Yes | 7c | 662.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f37…b248backed Yes | 2c | 639.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 632.12$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.61 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…928fbacked No | 27c | 611.78$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 4c | 552.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…d45bbacked No | 24c | 492.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 60c | 484$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.4 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe165…8211backed No | 40c | 467$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7295…e951backed Yes | 4c | 424.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…966bbacked No | 53c | 400$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…febfbacked No | 51c | 395.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.84 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 59c | 391.51$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea9…d092backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf669…b26dbacked Yes | 4c | 324.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 4c | 310$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…64a8backed No | 50c | 273.03$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…c519backed No | 52c | 267$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed Yes | 31c | 264.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…1ee3backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…66d1backed No | 57c | 246$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1523…78dabacked No | 39c | 243$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 32c | 235.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 44c | 233.87$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…dd1ebacked Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…5543backed Yes | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a3…04f4backed No | 74c | 203.96$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…bfacbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…42e5backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…4b92backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…de08backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 61c | 195.06$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27a…40a3backed No | 58c | 195.01$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 77c | 190$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 23c | 183.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.92 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2551…1f7ebacked No | 53c | 183$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 31c | 178.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 38c | 168.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -79%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04f3…e5dabacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 62c | 162.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7723…303bbacked No | 33c | 162$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +200.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 56c | 149.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Yes | 35c | 141.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…6d0cbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9257…1f7fbacked Yes | 41c | 133$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.