Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump pardon 750-999 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaef15ab5e103c6f2b6ef202759fc18ae3cfdf5f25fa0f24d51e4a5293a5a2f3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,749,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $548,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,749,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 584 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf17…a53cbacked Yes | 0c | 50,698$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0211…8073backed Yes | 1c | 50,100$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 43,833$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad16…e610backed Yes | 0c | 31,623$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 0c | 23,292$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 19,300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…dfcdbacked Yes | 0c | 16,394$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7d…1a19backed Yes | 0c | 16,085$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfee…d0e3backed Yes | 0c | 16,050$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e33…67fabacked Yes | 0c | 15,975$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…899dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,935$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c51…637dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,905$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,905$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…0d49backed Yes | 0c | 15,850$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…ad90backed Yes | 0c | 15,825$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…5813backed Yes | 0c | 15,795$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96dc…b066backed Yes | 0c | 15,790$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…c92cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,755$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…553fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,660$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd899…3c3dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,590$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c63…4e34backed Yes | 0c | 15,590$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f9…ea71backed Yes | 0c | 15,545$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…8dd9backed Yes | 0c | 15,530$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c2…0bc0backed Yes | 0c | 15,525$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x720a…70b6backed Yes | 0c | 15,520$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…1140backed Yes | 0c | 15,390$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fc…491abacked Yes | 0c | 15,285$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3963…0174backed Yes | 0c | 15,255$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…9642backed Yes | 0c | 15,155$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,049$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…e0ccbacked Yes | 0c | 15,025$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44c…3581backed Yes | 0c | 11,200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c1…45abbacked Yes | 1c | 10,971$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea3…e2b0backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x601f…6dbebacked Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a9…3533backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…cb64backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…8affbacked Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…64ffbacked Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…36a8backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbd…f436backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad6…ac3dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…3ac2backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891c…93fbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…f656backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b72…044dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc19…d3bfbacked Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…903bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d42…4d58backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c6…8932backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…69d8backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…5e47backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483c…91ccbacked Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd1…9705backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…e61cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…4409backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3421…31e3backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…7754backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe698…eb0abacked Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd05…b572backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…7dd9backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…c692backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc419…89f2backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…9c61backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…8942backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692a…1452backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ed…9f66backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedaf…07f7backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80db…d82bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…5e03backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d3…e9c2backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…c3f8backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b80…521abacked Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…a0e7backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc0…eb16backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…c727backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…0932backed Yes | 0c | 10,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…dd17backed Yes | 0c | 10,794$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816d…1f3ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,273$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…23e8backed Yes | 1c | 10,106$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…8eebbacked Yes | 1c | 9,924$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd7…90b4backed Yes | 1c | 9,924$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b81…1cf4backed Yes | 0c | 9,735$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…ed34backed Yes | 1c | 9,546$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…e80ebacked Yes | 0c | 9,546$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdead…5780backed Yes | 0c | 9,546$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9ac3backed Yes | 0c | 9,546$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…eb68backed Yes | 0c | 9,546$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8824backed Yes | 1c | 9,546$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea1…6707backed Yes | 0c | 9,546$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5148…2be0backed Yes | 0c | 9,546$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa331…f389backed Yes | 0c | 9,356$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…4954backed Yes | 0c | 9,356$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…fa58backed Yes | 0c | 9,356$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…dfc2backed Yes | 1c | 9,323$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x487a…8785backed Yes | 1c | 9,257$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac0…6432backed Yes | 1c | 9,223$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…81e9backed Yes | 1c | 9,223$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad59…4404backed Yes | 1c | 9,223$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…5f80backed Yes | 1c | 9,223$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump pardon 750-999 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?this page
- Will Trump pardon 1,000-1,249 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon 1,250-1,499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon 250-499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon 500-749 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.