TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester City win again in 2024?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,571
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,021

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,571 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5df3…bbadbacked No6c2,777$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed No6c2,087$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.423948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d3…4e5ebacked No1c1,249$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed No9c1,044$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked No5c999.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7960…f8a8backed No8c797.69$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.94825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No23c791.15$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.4290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed No22c751.23$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.053234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53d2…0c3fbacked No25c641.31$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.591566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa40c…8192backed No8c607.27$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No16c594.25$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3266031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No12c536.28$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.387034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4890…0968backed No10c502.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed No8c450.06$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5532736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked No7c400$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fbe…d7e1backed No6c399.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-58.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed No9c397.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355042%21 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed No9c384.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.385635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c41…b467backed No27c354.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9543…3c1abacked No25c318$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66cf…7864backed No27c315$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac6…82a6backed No7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No8c297.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.877343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x913a…78dabacked No27c297.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad47…5a02backed No10c289.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x462a…8b5cbacked No7c282.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe85b…b881backed Yes75c260$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd145…93a7backed Yes74c240$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aee…bc95backed No26c240$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc3…0dfbbacked No10c220.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e5…c1c2backed No10c209.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed No22c200.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6edc…6975backed No17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.13053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No10c194.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.62638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb52d…f61fbacked No11c185$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-77.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce7…6db5backed No27c180$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48e…8f7dbacked No7c175.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.281827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd44b…2911backed Yes76c170$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ee…ef21backed No25c170$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e6b…189bbacked No12c150.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d1e…5512backed No13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.56529.2%19 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc1f…5ac4backed Yes76c140$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b12…da62backed Yes76c132.36$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3025…fccdbacked No8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afe…c3aabacked No26c120$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff1…6724backed No26c120$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e2…ad51backed Yes76c120$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef68…84f1backed Yes74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69cc…1e00backed No26c120$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f3…3179backed Yes74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d1f…442dbacked Yes74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2c…a767backed No27c115$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c05…7c5cbacked Yes74c115$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f83…00abbacked No27c110$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f1…d185backed Yes73c110$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…f48abacked Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…1f2cbacked Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0666…7713backed Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f6b…4920backed No24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b95…9702backed No27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x486a…91f2backed Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f64…9cefbacked No26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x188b…6003backed No26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.92556%14 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d8f…674fbacked No27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cbd…c4ffbacked Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a7…0e9bbacked No25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f7…ab86backed Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…01d7backed Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ea…6ccdbacked Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a7…f743backed No27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2e…c139backed Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e4…6dfbbacked Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…faf8backed Yes74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633f…ac7dbacked No25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf807…ae12backed Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d6…62a9backed Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1901…fb5dbacked No24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc90…22c7backed Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe548…7f66backed No24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db9…3184backed Yes76c92$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e22…3451backed No25c90$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca69…7bb6backed Yes74c90$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde4d…4411backed Yes76c90$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6855…22c8backed Yes76c90$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc152…3a6ebacked Yes74c90$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ce…a43fbacked No26c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc620…be32backed No27c90$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc144…36ffbacked No25c90$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Yes78c83.72$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4229751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Yes75c83.05$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.764240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x369b…5129backed No19c81.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.452213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd80c…98febacked Yes76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…8a9abacked Yes73c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb6e…b52cbacked Yes76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0005…31cabacked No25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0137…2284backed No24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49fb…9866backed No24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed No27c75.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No17c70.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d7…f6a1backed No25c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.