Token Launches · resolved market
Farcaster airdrop in Q1 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fa3d640473bc9bf6ff9ca798cc372e6a5e87fb8b631b3c7a30fd3acad149a59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7567…4981backed Yes | 30c | 82,016$24,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,604.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9889…3e00backed No | 70c | 82,016$57,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,604.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 5,180$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 16c | 1,982$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.13 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 8c | 1,323$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 1,137$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 13c | 809.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.47 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed Yes | 19c | 806.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 5c | 607.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…2392backed Yes | 25c | 505$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23a1…1ab7backed Yes | 4c | 403.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 15c | 251.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…87c5backed Yes | 23c | 234$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 43c | 226.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…b6b4backed Yes | 27c | 217$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…fabebacked Yes | 27c | 216$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 11c | 199$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c3…2031backed No | 73c | 187$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…9343backed No | 80c | 158.73$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 48cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…745dbacked Yes | 20c | 157.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 25c | 156.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f66…d2eabacked Yes | 27c | 138$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…b0f1backed No | 77c | 128$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…5cb2backed No | 77c | 123.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa2…4905backed Yes | 10c | 120.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed Yes | 27c | 119.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 21c | 110.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 77c | 100.02$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39ee…1464backed No | 73c | 92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 20c | 91.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…51babacked Yes | 23c | 88.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…e9d0backed No | 77c | 87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…e135backed No | 73c | 86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…8801backed No | 73c | 82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45a…811abacked No | 73c | 82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…7ff9backed No | 73c | 82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed Yes | 23c | 73.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +170.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked Yes | 35c | 71.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 73c | 71.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…e5e9backed No | 78c | 69.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…ecaabacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed Yes | 24c | 64.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…ee03backed No | 77c | 61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 29c | 59.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…de7ebacked No | 70c | 57.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…ea18backed Yes | 27c | 57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…e4e3backed Yes | 24c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…4de2backed No | 76c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edd…b2d2backed Yes | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5f…5c85backed No | 65c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefe…8f45backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…975dbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd98…129cbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…fc92backed Yes | 23c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…0428backed Yes | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 26c | 40.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…78b6backed No | 65c | 39.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x432a…4f0ebacked Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…7e83backed No | 76c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…08aebacked Yes | 51c | 29.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65de…38f3backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…f578backed No | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2182…fd1abacked No | 79c | 22.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb830…f01cbacked No | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe58f…32acbacked No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…8900backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…8d9cbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd358…9b59backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…a54bbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…71cdbacked No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…bd39backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…8b6cbacked No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…12cdbacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d8…e82bbacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…7e97backed No | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176d…e386backed No | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d09…6a5ebacked No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…9cc6backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…5550backed No | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6d…b7dabacked No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…126ebacked No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f9b8backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846b…d583backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4f…0d85backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa109…1027backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…5e24backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8474…8692backed No | 79c | 14.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161f…0f10backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa01f…ac67backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…1965backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc20…6f89backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6289…8e60backed No | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7b…70bdbacked No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bb…6887backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…8471backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…f3a3backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6b…c5a4backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…31aabacked No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…e824backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Farcaster airdrop in Q1 2025?this page
- Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?Yes won
- Aleo airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Astaria airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Avail airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- MetaMask airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- PartyDAO airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Rabby airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Rainbow airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.