Token Launches · resolved market
Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80193f17b426dd761473abf075cc8668c8e6a427769776e499cc90531618549c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $304,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcee5…73c6backed No | 65c | 93,000$60,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…6613backed Yes | 35c | 93,000$32,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba7…46bcbacked Yes | 32c | 11,887$3,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,767.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 50c | 4,999$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.54 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa57a…66d6backed Yes | 29c | 3,500$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 3c | 3,291$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,252$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 50c | 2,952$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9875…25f1backed No | 63c | 2,244$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…3f0ebacked No | 65c | 2,170$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…1541backed Yes | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc4…768fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,959$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 69c | 1,630$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.59 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed No | 72c | 1,594$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dc…c1d7backed No | 71c | 1,549$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +123%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f07…b0d3backed No | 67c | 1,539$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked No | 66c | 1,516$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.73 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +73%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…b435backed No | 69c | 1,458$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 29c | 1,437$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.09 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 5c | 1,255$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…2392backed Yes | 33c | 1,196$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 12c | 1,064$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.84 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…13b1backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 34c | 937.2$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 63c | 912.59$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.39 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…be41backed Yes | 24c | 843.12$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.98 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…0950backed No | 78c | 819.41$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…d9e1backed Yes | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f7…baaebacked No | 65c | 774.57$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed Yes | 16c | 678.13$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 14c | 661.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.08 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…55a9backed Yes | 16c | 657.76$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…cf2abacked No | 77c | 610$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49e…118fbacked Yes | 13c | 608.13$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes | 32c | 596.8$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee7…8f5bbacked No | 69c | 579.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 41c | 570$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.26 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 42c | 524.61$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.58 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 51c | 509.81$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.81 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 63c | 505.1$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.21 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…de19backed Yes | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…28e5backed Yes | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…49aebacked Yes | 9c | 465.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f7…7e8ebacked No | 75c | 465.33$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd697…def2backed Yes | 51c | 459.78$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68c…f959backed Yes | 49c | 457.94$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 17c | 423.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +8.0wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 66c | 419$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 29c | 407.24$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…bb4bbacked Yes | 30c | 406.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…baefbacked No | 63c | 399.68$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…d6fabacked Yes | 7c | 395.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13b…8a63backed Yes | 32c | 385.65$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.41 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…d60dbacked No | 66c | 339.19$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…a710backed No | 76c | 328.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…d2dabacked Yes | 15c | 322$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 22c | 319.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…0822backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…a0b9backed No | 65c | 309.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.68 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 59c | 300.35$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed Yes | 29c | 294.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…c70abacked Yes | 36c | 293.7$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 16c | 284.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…2b85backed Yes | 15c | 274$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…c87dbacked Yes | 15c | 272$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 36c | 260.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60d…3869backed Yes | 31c | 249.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…c8eebacked Yes | 31c | 249.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Yes | 37c | 243.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…1bf1backed Yes | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes | 36c | 236.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 79c | 223.23$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -82%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 80c | 220.72$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 29c | 218.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…7f9abacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…d95ebacked No | 74c | 211.78$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…9ad5backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 69c | 203.84$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…9343backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 48cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…884ebacked Yes | 13c | 193.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…d20fbacked Yes | 40c | 188.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 27c | 181.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x853d…f8d4backed Yes | 19c | 178.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +218.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…7537backed Yes | 24c | 176.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…4391backed Yes | 18c | 158.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1b…20debacked No | 63c | 157.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 9c | 156.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed Yes | 36c | 151$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…f1aebacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…ee03backed No | 68c | 147.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked No | 76c | 145.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8957…0d38backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab3…4b1bbacked Yes | 37c | 139.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 22c | 135.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…51bebacked Yes | 37c | 133.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…b710backed Yes | 51c | 133.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ff…183ebacked Yes | 14c | 129$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?this page
- Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?Yes won
- Aleo airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Astaria airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Avail airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Farcaster airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- MetaMask airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- PartyDAO airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Rabby airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Rainbow airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.