Token Launches · resolved market
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2090c30d181142250d1f25b5da4808b16cddd7f2e2cfcf19bdfd508325498fb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $536,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $562,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $536,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef30…3f94backed No | 59c | 16,971$9,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,974 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 8,799$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…5a76backed Yes | 60c | 8,410$5,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,012.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f5…84f2backed Yes | 3c | 7,970$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ded…ba6cbacked No | 29c | 7,316$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,230.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +250.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…c9f5backed Yes | 31c | 7,106$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…3eb6backed Yes | 15c | 6,852$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…f4f1backed Yes | 36c | 6,624$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked No | 20c | 6,498$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,198.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…5dc2backed Yes | 33c | 5,676$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…a1bebacked No | 18c | 5,420$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +442%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 76c | 5,118$3,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.31 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 5,113$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 21c | 4,827$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,832.62 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…cb6dbacked No | 53c | 4,722$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29f…5ccabacked Yes | 73c | 4,543$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,324.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed No | 48c | 4,530$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.29 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dc02backed No | 12c | 4,401$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,872.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +732.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 80c | 4,338$3,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,466.77 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1865…b47fbacked No | 28c | 4,246$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +259.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…b28bbacked No | 61c | 3,973$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…3402backed Yes | 32c | 3,783$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 18c | 3,769$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.02 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb183…459fbacked No | 20c | 3,682$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +390.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 59c | 3,674$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773e…f226backed No | 15c | 3,553$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +307.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x592e…77a8backed No | 15c | 3,496$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +573.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 19c | 3,489$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.42 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +470.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc677…d1c8backed No | 79c | 3,381$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 55c | 3,355$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.14 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 19c | 3,111$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.78 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc052…69e2backed No | 33c | 3,054$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +205.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc961…bbf4backed No | 57c | 2,970$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed Yes | 44c | 2,925$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.59 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…0ffdbacked Yes | 6c | 2,912$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…4671backed No | 61c | 2,842$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 12c | 2,609$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.17 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 45c | 2,563$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49cb…309bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,472$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6527…bff2backed No | 44c | 2,467$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…2f78backed No | 40c | 2,464$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…ca49backed No | 62c | 2,454$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed No | 25c | 2,440$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2883…5621backed Yes | 2c | 2,405$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff61…b9bdbacked No | 31c | 2,351$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +219.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9c…3d1bbacked Yes | 46c | 2,187$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e8…ff6abacked Yes | 7c | 2,179$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d9…bb86backed No | 35c | 2,127$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5e…ccdcbacked Yes | 61c | 2,125$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4697…4f9abacked No | 16c | 2,100$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +521.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a79…8e05backed No | 76c | 2,099$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…4fd3backed No | 73c | 2,044$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,041$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 57 | 1.8%1 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed No | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.95 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b24…2e06backed No | 40c | 1,990$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392f…dd7dbacked No | 15c | 1,971$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +546.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 12c | 1,850$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.4 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…801bbacked No | 21c | 1,831$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +382%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e97…f7f3backed Yes | 39c | 1,796$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…c5adbacked Yes | 6c | 1,774$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda4…2350backed No | 16c | 1,710$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +535.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 13c | 1,574$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.46 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,519$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf6…0d60backed Yes | 18c | 1,477$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…1728backed Yes | 14c | 1,471$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780d…44eabacked No | 13c | 1,453$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +366.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 43c | 1,445$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.15 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b97…e8f6backed No | 14c | 1,416$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +227.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked No | 75c | 1,406$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.41 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +73%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…d9abbacked No | 14c | 1,398$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +599.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…8299backed Yes | 11c | 1,392$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d8…a6ccbacked No | 18c | 1,383$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +456.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 46c | 1,352$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.7 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71be…9365backed Yes | 50c | 1,299$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…fa89backed No | 80c | 1,282$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3619…a8febacked Yes | 19c | 1,280$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…6a86backed Yes | 6c | 1,275$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597c…e2b1backed Yes | 66c | 1,249$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e56…6eb4backed Yes | 72c | 1,147$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 7c | 1,134$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 28c | 1,118$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.51 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…029fbacked No | 19c | 1,069$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +434.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c5…714ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.32per pick | 12cpaid | +985.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa57a…66d6backed No | 17c | 999.89$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9434…187cbacked Yes | 5c | 995.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…eecbbacked No | 19c | 989.25$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 16c | 988.54$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.17 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 16c | 961.2$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.07 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…4228backed No | 13c | 948.88$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 55c | 940.49$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -82%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…595abacked Yes | 11c | 914.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…489dbacked No | 11c | 911.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.62 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…50c7backed No | 18c | 909.35$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0871…2783backed Yes | 8c | 895.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 58c | 890.99$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 870.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 2c | 867.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5411…72c0backed Yes | 37c | 814.85$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?this page
- Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?Yes won
- Aleo airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Astaria airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Avail airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Farcaster airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- MetaMask airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- PartyDAO airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Rabby airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Rainbow airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.