Token Launches · resolved market
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06a6a5e5d706aa6f83cd8257c00f7f35d342d60811ad5a4ceb503d6bcd29b3a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,435,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,687,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,435,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 2c | 131,165$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.76 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 12cpaid | +180.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 1c | 110,140$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 11c | 95,359$10,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,051.62 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d5…2884backed No | 0c | 94,999$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +5,352.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 31,733$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 4c | 29,314$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.56 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…28a1backed No | 4c | 23,658$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +193.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe179…1edebacked No | 5c | 21,891$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked No | 5c | 21,499$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.48 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 1c | 21,269$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 5c | 18,731$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.83 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 0c | 14,665$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…09c4backed No | 8c | 14,069$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed No | 11c | 11,695$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 8c | 10,673$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.71 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd447…13b8backed No | 16c | 10,273$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…2b3bbacked No | 10c | 8,676$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed No | 3c | 8,581$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.14 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…be41backed No | 7c | 5,504$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.2 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7e…158dbacked No | 1c | 5,356$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed No | 11c | 5,061$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +190.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed No | 11c | 5,048$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff28…32c7backed No | 3c | 4,753$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed No | 6c | 4,500$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.08 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 9c | 4,490$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.78 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…c5adbacked No | 8c | 4,402$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…80a4backed No | 3c | 4,265$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 10c | 4,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.43 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…28ffbacked No | 6c | 4,076$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…489dbacked No | 6c | 4,067$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.93 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…bc74backed No | 11c | 3,900$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…4032backed No | 0c | 3,663$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 8c | 3,662$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.21 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebd…58ffbacked No | 3c | 3,435$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…1174backed No | 4c | 3,333$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 3,126$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 57 | 1.8%1 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…de19backed No | 6c | 3,107$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 1c | 3,006$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34e…c1cfbacked No | 11c | 2,972$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 7c | 2,861$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…1e9bbacked No | 6c | 2,658$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7306…423dbacked No | 9c | 2,541$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 1c | 2,200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…a88bbacked No | 8c | 2,089$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…8ef1backed No | 7c | 1,900$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…ed02backed No | 9c | 1,833$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed No | 3c | 1,800$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…c8e4backed No | 3c | 1,742$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +250.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 9c | 1,737$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.32 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e39…ff7bbacked No | 10c | 1,695$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked No | 6c | 1,664$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 8c | 1,630$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.22 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…a537backed No | 6c | 1,519$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed No | 5c | 1,517$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 8c | 1,496$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.04 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380f…51f6backed No | 7c | 1,399$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 11c | 1,370$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.47 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605b…d8b3backed No | 4c | 1,366$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…c705backed No | 7c | 1,363$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed No | 5c | 1,352$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 7c | 1,328$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 2c | 1,307$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…6979backed No | 15c | 1,303$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x028d…28bdbacked No | 11c | 1,269$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 18cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596c…f06bbacked No | 2c | 1,237$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 5c | 1,216$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e57…55b7backed No | 14c | 1,185$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc31…4d22backed No | 11c | 1,178$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 7c | 1,165$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0af…09a3backed No | 9c | 1,122$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed No | 3c | 1,111$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…a928backed No | 9c | 1,090$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeca…0a65backed No | 10c | 1,023$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…a43cbacked No | 7c | 979.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290c…bd36backed No | 11c | 923$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f2…7effbacked No | 9c | 883.42$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd2…edecbacked No | 6c | 870.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…06b0backed No | 9c | 794.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2f…ce13backed No | 4c | 722$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c61…fdb1backed No | 7c | 700$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 12c | 694.81$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.59 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…5a12backed No | 7c | 685.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97a…d3f7backed No | 9c | 676.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf449…5fa7backed No | 7c | 640.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d51…f316backed No | 4c | 639.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…8750backed No | 16c | 613.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +267.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f3…5ad6backed No | 8c | 573.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6a…cdcfbacked No | 6c | 549.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1f…09e4backed No | 13c | 547.62$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d34…17e8backed No | 14c | 540$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 9c | 522$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…ff16backed No | 7c | 500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed No | 5c | 500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked No | 10c | 497$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef11…7446backed No | 2c | 479.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…5cb2backed No | 9c | 465.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…ee87backed No | 9c | 447.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…c1b8backed No | 8c | 426.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +262.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…f427backed No | 10c | 411.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +147%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…b441backed No | 13c | 384.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +221%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?this page
- Aleo airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Astaria airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Avail airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Farcaster airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- MetaMask airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- PartyDAO airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Rabby airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Rainbow airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.