NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0a70f874960564aab2f335fc773a678841838441607212ac6713e50905b70f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Heat, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Raptors | 59c | 22,932$13,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,500.83 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Heat | 51c | 18,884$9,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,636.88 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 17c | 5,627$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.58 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Heat | 2c | 4,858$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Heat | 2c | 4,696$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors | 40c | 4,661$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.83 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…33ccbacked Raptors | 67c | 4,459$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.93 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Heat | 38c | 4,418$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.97 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 38c | 4,139$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.81 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Heat | 64c | 3,970$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…e082backed Heat | 1c | 3,423$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Heat | 25c | 3,245$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd22…2df2backed Heat | 4c | 3,126$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 36c | 3,094$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.18 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…d8c7backed Heat | 67c | 2,989$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Raptors | 36c | 2,794$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.15 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b806backed Raptors | 34c | 2,100$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…e540backed Heat | 62c | 1,769$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Raptors | 56c | 1,745$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.69 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…15d7backed Raptors | 64c | 1,571$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.91 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 13c | 1,562$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.13 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…826bbacked Heat | 44c | 1,524$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.19 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Heat | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Heat | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Raptors | 38c | 1,184$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.37 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked Heat | 4c | 1,150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Heat | 18c | 1,089$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Raptors | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Heat | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Heat | 33c | 962.65$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.76 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 1c | 898.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Raptors | 35c | 889.18$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.96 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…32b4backed Heat | 46c | 850$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Raptors | 44c | 846.16$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.48 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Heat | 29c | 823.25$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.73 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Heat | 30c | 810$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.2 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e7…8883backed Heat | 55c | 800$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…bbf3backed Heat | 67c | 734.35$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f86…3a77backed Heat | 32c | 694.87$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.28 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Heat | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Heat | 65c | 580$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…29cebacked Heat | 2c | 543.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Heat | 54c | 540.6$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.01 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Heat | 60c | 510.63$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.42 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Heat | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Heat | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Raptors | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Heat | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe494…7589backed Heat | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Raptors | 74c | 380.53$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…6d01backed Heat | 37c | 379.84$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6f56backed Heat | 45c | 368.13$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.68 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Heat | 32c | 342.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Heat | 5c | 320.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Heat | 65c | 309.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Heat | 17c | 275.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Heat | 63c | 268.98$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Heat | 36c | 257.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Heat | 62c | 254$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.48 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Heat | 55c | 249.31$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…9d27backed Raptors | 37c | 243.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…700cbacked Raptors | 37c | 240.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Heat | 14c | 239.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…41a9backed Heat | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 31c | 228.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Raptors | 35c | 199.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a93…52d9backed Heat | 9c | 175.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269d…e0c2backed Heat | 58c | 172.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c60…67c1backed Raptors | 77c | 167$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Heat | 57c | 164.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Raptors | 36c | 162.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…e4eebacked Heat | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Heat | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Raptors | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…e1a8backed Heat | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Heat | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Heat | 38c | 132.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Heat | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Heat | 20c | 122$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Raptors | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Heat | 49c | 118.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Heat | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb118…da1ebacked Heat | 9c | 111$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Heat | 66c | 104.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 266 | 59%157 W · 109 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 37c | 100.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Raptors | 63c | 100.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Raptors | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Heat | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…4d55backed Raptors | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Heat | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Heat | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f7…0fb5backed Heat | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed Heat | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…2caebacked Heat | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Heat | 64c | 99.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Heat | 40c | 91.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Heat | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Heat | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Heat | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 298 | 44%131 W · 167 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.