TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Hornets, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$320,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$403,013

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,809 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Bulls73c40,372$29,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,039.0715056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets14c24,790$3,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,363.693,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hornets27c22,863$6,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,172.8849849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets27c18,877$5,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,171.481,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaed…5bb2backed Hornets0c12,520$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.841233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+171.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4455…4864backed Hornets33c10,017$3,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,305.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6656…c7c0backed Hornets33c10,015$3,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,304.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59c…7794backed Bulls67c10,001$6,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,300.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb31…04d6backed Bulls67c10,001$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,300.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Hornets5c9,712$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.4461532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Hornets34c9,680$3,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,317.5372241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…b273backed Hornets33c7,930$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,617.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Bulls70c6,650$4,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.161,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80b2…1e1cbacked Hornets33c5,685$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9001030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Hornets2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Hornets2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Hornets31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.971735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a04…2375backed Bulls69c4,652$3,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698d…5dd5backed Bulls67c4,460$2,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.793100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf70e…8759backed Bulls69c4,277$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ae…afc4backed Hornets34c3,640$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf135…6fa0backed Bulls67c3,470$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Hornets32c3,390$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.737448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Hornets33c2,946$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.0730351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hornets1c2,655$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.411,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Bulls68c2,179$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.0165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Bulls69c2,173$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.7519137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Hornets2c2,132$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3237627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed Bulls69c2,029$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.994257.1%24 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+70.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Bulls67c1,600$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.9722053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe2…8f71backed Bulls68c1,456$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aef…5822backed Hornets33c1,456$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cec…a0fdbacked Bulls69c1,419$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.631369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb296…07babacked Bulls66c1,250$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e1…c6e2backed Bulls69c1,232$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.78955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+39.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c6…b9adbacked Hornets31c1,230$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.31250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Hornets32c1,217$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.2819642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Bulls68c1,144$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.2177745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Bulls68c1,102$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.9285347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bulls68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd296…5febbacked Hornets30c999.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+69.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Bulls68c999.95$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.2929148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ae…4876backed Hornets32c999.79$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.933537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Hornets32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d31…2cbfbacked Bulls69c781.16$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.165354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x900d…2961backed Bulls80c776.45$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.793571.4%25 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Hornets33c739$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.8711952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Bulls74c724.84$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.129043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fdc…42f9backed Bulls67c720.22$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.224858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets20c675$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Hornets30c649.96$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4972341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe564…e364backed Bulls68c635.83$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.471258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Bulls66c600$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20630440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85cc…2b10backed Bulls79c571.23$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.96875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Hornets4c550$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2113611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Bulls69c536.23$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2310921.1%23 W · 86 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Bulls68c514.71$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7133638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Hornets35c504.29$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9725833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f05…8ad8backed Hornets21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Hornets33c471.35$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.554452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Bulls70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5718666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe08e…646dbacked Hornets13c422.02$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.937950.6%40 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bc…3d45backed Hornets11c370.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-67.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d6…d683backed Bulls68c364$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.481030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-59.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Hornets33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-47.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7fd…95aebacked Bulls67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-50.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Hornets32c299.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9926547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Bulls69c292.75$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7515763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bulls69c286.33$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7657760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets9c276.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.151,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Bulls68c268.92$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1975347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Hornets28c256.92$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0540448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e17…779abacked Bulls71c246.13$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.382979.3%23 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3dad…0668backed Hornets32c234.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753450%17 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Bulls76c205.27$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7225957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bulls71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5889353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Bulls67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets32c199.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.991,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe6a…27e9backed Bulls68c194.88$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.36560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f50…f56cbacked Hornets32c182.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-72.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Hornets17c179.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7739843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a57…c233backed Hornets31c169.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.42740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec0…a0eabacked Bulls71c169.01$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.012975.9%22 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c81…0aebbacked Hornets13c159.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.73650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Bulls67c153.65$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7126933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe727…a39cbacked Hornets7c150.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165726%171 W · 486 L+2.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d08…0080backed Bulls66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515330.2%16 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Bulls67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2514062.9%88 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b4…442dbacked Bulls69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.933164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x603e…c256backed Bulls71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hornets32c128.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4473051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Hornets8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Hornets21c125$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.570951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Bulls78c124.05$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.756365.1%41 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6a…5726backed Hornets18c120.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.764240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Hornets34c120.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.972740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75da…4688backed Hornets27c101.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.411435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7b…7bc3backed Hornets34c100.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.282832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Bulls68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc12…1e02backed Bulls69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.