TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Zach Edey win NBA Rookie of the Year?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,053
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,053 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c14,201$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.811550%0 W · 155 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4784…0a75backed Yes4c3,800$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes16c2,660$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.991,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Yes7c1,471$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.591353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes36c994.31$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.6518536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa85…c1a7backed Yes13c902.53$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8825%2 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+147.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes9c849.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.661,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf0…fd3abacked Yes9c575.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505127.5%14 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes14c563.97$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.59539.4%5 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick12cpaid+11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes21c506.19$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.35230.8%16 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc900…4faebacked Yes22c500$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…2d5fbacked Yes8c460$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.761030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-52.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes24c434.4$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.066113.1%8 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed Yes47c319.49$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Yes44c304.67$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6410837%40 W · 68 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes37c291.67$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.22586.9%4 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc80…2fdbbacked Yes18c282.66$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.576634.8%23 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No60c226$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.410244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes7c220$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.732326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a9c…f335backed Yes6c171$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No74c138.48$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6724549%120 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…77c7backed Yes36c135.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.361625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa88c…b990backed Yes19c123.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.611717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ff…d164backed No56c120.23$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…3d27backed No56c114.29$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46e4…07b7backed Yes33c107.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.36714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick45cpaid-74.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2bebbacked Yes10c105.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7b…7bc3backed Yes20c99.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes43c96.68$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.148324.1%20 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c28…7b2ebacked Yes47c96.42$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.62425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-65.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdab5…d840backed Yes35c94.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b1…767ebacked No56c86.08$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5224…a664backed Yes35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1197…40bfbacked Yes21c84.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.751625%4 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67ad…2e1fbacked Yes45c82.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…90b3backed Yes47c80.04$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9642…30a7backed Yes44c78.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+96.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ca…eb95backed Yes45c76.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6960%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8950…fb6abacked No54c75.38$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca9…b274backed No55c74.1$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae4…b0b6backed Yes47c74.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.82837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb941…deebbacked No55c72.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.91450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15b9…3084backed Yes45c72.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c08…9f08backed No56c70.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+75.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f8e…6c54backed Yes47c69.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf259…7592backed Yes27c69.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.017538.7%29 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4558…84f6backed Yes44c68.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc357…7b82backed Yes44c67.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ad…8ebebacked No54c67.55$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37f1…5092backed Yes47c67.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbfd…b427backed Yes44c66.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.49580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+54.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa756…095cbacked No58c66.67$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1720…51f2backed No56c66.46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.515100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c0a…f52dbacked Yes47c66.09$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fbf…5edfbacked No58c65.05$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97cf…d5b2backed No59c64.53$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.65560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1560…5212backed No72c64.09$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.01785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+74.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadac…c154backed Yes44c63.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4d…75c6backed No54c63.58$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x847f…beabbacked Yes46c62.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0f…0ec6backed Yes44c62.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe640…0926backed No56c62.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf2…3ddbbacked No58c62.43$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa531…63a2backed Yes40c61.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2011…5423backed No58c61.63$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4d…2fcfbacked Yes47c61.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46b9…987cbacked No58c60.65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.73450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d6…5f0abacked No56c59.85$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.465100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x45e9…7609backed No58c59.79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.114100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+78.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d06…2d30backed Yes47c59.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87fa…6094backed No55c59.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.85650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…ac91backed Yes47c58.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.63333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-39.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa7c…6b71backed No56c58.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.75475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b0a…5aafbacked No59c58.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.11650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4e6…3cfdbacked Yes46c58.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d0…8c53backed No55c57.22$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+69.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa136…a7d7backed No69c57.17$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc998…19a6backed No58c56.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c73…9bbabacked Yes46c56.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20e8…da05backed No68c56.3$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc24a…0bf2backed Yes47c55.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.61425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea7…333cbacked No57c54.93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.62560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7036…977abacked No56c54.28$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-55.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x342d…4953backed No57c54.22$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.31560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc023…7b82backed No58c53.59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x539c…5ef3backed Yes47c53.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48a0…d1bebacked Yes44c53.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f4…1367backed Yes46c52.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.11616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-70.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d1b…8b5dbacked Yes39c52.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa081…a2debacked No57c52.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…4aeabacked No58c51.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x408d…cc9cbacked No56c51.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd36…dd25backed No69c50.97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe161…e377backed Yes46c50.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…5b14backed Yes44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222030%6 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-47.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf09c…013cbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb14…fb17backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda42…d1a6backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc43a…af90backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ac…bad6backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.