NBA · resolved market
Will Jaylen Wells win NBA Rookie of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x229cb5de8b5e690f950b34bfb79f1aae331680f522f6bed6f78229584237d2fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 15,120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 6c | 5,940$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.25 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 6c | 4,078$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.31 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 9c | 3,426$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.89 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Yes | 1c | 1,456$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 13c | 1,043$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5f…3d64backed Yes | 4c | 996.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed No | 67c | 886.72$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.54 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe528…1511backed Yes | 7c | 677.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…fd3abacked Yes | 19c | 631.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Yes | 9c | 500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 11c | 409.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 10c | 347.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…a865backed Yes | 16c | 309.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 14c | 220$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 18c | 140$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Yes | 14c | 120.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…37f0backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…8ea3backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed No | 77c | 93.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ca…053cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 61c | 33.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 61c | 27.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jaylen Wells win NBA Rookie of the Year?this page
- Will Alexandre Sarr win NBA Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Carlton Carrington win NBA Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Dalton Knecht win NBA Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Donnovan Clingan win NBA Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Jarred McCain win NBA Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Stephon Castle win NBA Rookie of the Year?Yes won
- Will Zaccharie Risacher win NBA Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Zach Edey win NBA Rookie of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.