TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Zaccharie Risacher win NBA Rookie of the Year?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$549,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$969,102

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,257 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5093…272cbacked Yes0c11,600$12 inLost-$12.3119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-77.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…045fbacked Yes1c8,032$70 inLost-$70348.8%3 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e4…517abacked Yes2c5,178$100 inLost-$100238.7%2 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-77.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost-$10462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost-$201550%0 W · 155 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes7c3,473$239 inLost-$238.5122750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes4c2,951$113 inLost-$113.321,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe7…9563backed Yes9c2,722$252 inLost-$251.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c2,703$17 inLost-$17.222130.5%1 W · 212 L+0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c1,193$12 inLost-$11.521,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08fa…a865backed Yes8c600.64$50 inLost-$502347.8%11 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+90.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes3c447.38$13 inLost-$13.42520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-18.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b04…cb28backed Yes4c368.46$14 inLost-$14.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff5f…3d64backed Yes12c250.7$30 inLost-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes23c220$51 inLost-$51.272326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes9c217.61$19 inLost-$18.87539.4%5 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick12cpaid+11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x411c…e9c0backed Yes12c147.68$17 inLost-$17.3610724.3%26 W · 81 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc35d…7918backed No73c130.34$95 inWon+$35.4580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd76d…c5c6backed Yes12c130$16 inLost-$15.65754.4%31 W · 26 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6b1…0cb9backed No72c86.22$62 inWon+$24.524100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0710…42a2backed No77c80$62 inWon+$18.491172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc561…fa80backed No55c50.9$28 inWon+$22.911060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc354…de11backed No79c41.93$33 inWon+$8.72757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd591…5865backed Yes45c24.16$11 inLost-$10.87540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc32c…4e03backed No57c18.64$11 inWon+$8.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4169…b11fbacked No75c15.83$12 inWon+$3.973100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.