NBA · resolved market
Will Stephon Castle win NBA Rookie of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d18fd82acb4b0dec5d490499fbd067ae493c49f43fb9f79e122b5846f235274
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $554,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $561,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $554,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c00…a074backed Yes | 54c | 116,885$63,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,650.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c7…d675backed No | 46c | 116,842$53,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,630.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb403…06f0backed No | 42c | 73,112$30,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,707.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc536…b4aebacked Yes | 58c | 73,112$42,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,707.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 45c | 7,629$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417.91 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 79c | 3,088$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.11 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce8…b692backed Yes | 37c | 3,000$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +137%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe223…752abacked Yes | 37c | 2,900$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 36cpaid | +182.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…d4dbbacked Yes | 37c | 2,700$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a52…119abacked Yes | 37c | 2,700$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…ef3dbacked Yes | 37c | 2,700$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ae…fc14backed Yes | 37c | 2,700$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 37cpaid | +174%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de8…5d68backed Yes | 37c | 2,700$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eae…a570backed Yes | 37c | 2,700$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +141.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b3…dde6backed Yes | 62c | 2,600$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b18…9f0dbacked Yes | 37c | 2,600$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +37%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 13c | 2,533$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.68 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 39c | 2,529$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.67 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…107dbacked Yes | 37c | 2,500$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 37cpaid | +174%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…158fbacked Yes | 37c | 2,500$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 37cpaid | +174%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…10d0backed Yes | 37c | 2,100$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Yes | 66c | 1,914$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.78 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed No | 35c | 1,732$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.17 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9760…f3b9backed No | 64c | 1,550$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8411…677cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,543$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf70…3222backed No | 63c | 1,520$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…3265backed No | 64c | 1,450$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…7a8cbacked No | 64c | 1,450$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d02…c0bfbacked No | 63c | 1,450$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa85…c1a7backed Yes | 16c | 1,429$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +147.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a67…5b72backed No | 64c | 1,420$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…9f13backed No | 63c | 1,400$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 5c | 1,396$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…4ac3backed No | 63c | 1,380$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7644…3189backed No | 64c | 1,350$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f1…5cd2backed No | 64c | 1,350$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…2a75backed No | 64c | 1,350$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb265…12c7backed No | 64c | 1,350$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aad…9337backed No | 64c | 1,320$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…18e8backed No | 63c | 1,300$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…7b55backed No | 64c | 1,280$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e6…350fbacked No | 64c | 1,280$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3316…52c1backed No | 64c | 1,280$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe528…1511backed Yes | 28c | 1,264$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…3456backed No | 64c | 1,250$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…6c5bbacked No | 64c | 1,250$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…9af9backed No | 63c | 1,250$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…52e4backed No | 64c | 1,250$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1746…7c59backed No | 64c | 1,220$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes | 47c | 1,219$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.05 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…f5efbacked No | 63c | 1,100$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed No | 38c | 1,099$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…41c9backed Yes | 23c | 1,082$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.1 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9821…c8acbacked No | 63c | 1,000$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 21c | 941$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49a…e4a2backed Yes | 38c | 808.72$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 34c | 661.86$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…e458backed Yes | 46c | 654.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.41 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…a865backed Yes | 9c | 561.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 11c | 466.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.37 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 49c | 458.11$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.07 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 9c | 456.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 14c | 407.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.41 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 74c | 388.25$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…8518backed Yes | 61c | 370.35$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.64 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc354…de11backed No | 57c | 369.56$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes | 26c | 344.95$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 49c | 335.46$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.36 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed No | 45c | 307.15$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 36c | 304$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Yes | 42c | 294.12$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.74 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +370.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe268…2feabacked No | 71c | 287.18$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c5…4fa3backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…dbdcbacked Yes | 79c | 250$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 32c | 248.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f7…9c2fbacked No | 57c | 245.85$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 15c | 238.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 42c | 220$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.03 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8250…842abacked No | 5c | 219$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed Yes | 42c | 214$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 9c | 211.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 5.1%4 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…f10fbacked Yes | 26c | 189.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3378…ae62backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 24cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c97…7d03backed No | 12c | 154$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e2…2f3ebacked No | 10c | 150.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…9f1bbacked Yes | 44c | 147.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…05d6backed Yes | 55c | 140.33$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…3a15backed No | 12c | 140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 46c | 138.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 31c | 136.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 58 | 6.9%4 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…0ab3backed No | 59c | 135.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…39c6backed No | 12c | 123$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Yes | 13c | 120.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0001…7840backed No | 12c | 119$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…1a5ebacked Yes | 44c | 116.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeca…cbe9backed No | 58c | 114.62$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e0…0fedbacked Yes | 77c | 106$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…d68dbacked Yes | 43c | 102.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7420…c03bbacked No | 65c | 101.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stephon Castle win NBA Rookie of the Year?this page
- Will Alexandre Sarr win NBA Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Carlton Carrington win NBA Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Dalton Knecht win NBA Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Donnovan Clingan win NBA Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Jarred McCain win NBA Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Jaylen Wells win NBA Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Zaccharie Risacher win NBA Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Zach Edey win NBA Rookie of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.