NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41296a9399dac1ddeec976438f436be53f73c63b41fe766d4d54ad27d9f552bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Clippers, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $348,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $374,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 476 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers | 26c | 14,951$3,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,890.47 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers | 28c | 12,075$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.73 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Clippers | 0c | 10,001$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers | 25c | 9,541$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.36 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Clippers | 8c | 9,356$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.38 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Clippers | 31c | 7,035$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.82 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Clippers | 14c | 6,836$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Clippers | 36c | 6,239$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.25 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.99 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Nuggets | 67c | 5,659$3,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.34 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x009a…0dc9backed Clippers | 33c | 5,320$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +166.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Nuggets | 74c | 5,284$3,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.51 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Clippers | 26c | 5,089$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.43 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Clippers | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…4d92backed Nuggets | 69c | 4,420$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Clippers | 5c | 4,358$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.09 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…3e8dbacked Clippers | 38c | 4,235$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Nuggets | 69c | 4,095$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.58 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…e24cbacked Nuggets | 69c | 3,841$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Clippers | 33c | 3,182$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Clippers | 3c | 3,003$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Clippers | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Clippers | 17c | 2,878$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.24 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Clippers | 2c | 2,639$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaed…5bb2backed Clippers | 3c | 2,100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +171.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…a74dbacked Nuggets | 70c | 2,083$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.47 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets | 68c | 2,052$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.45 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Clippers | 28c | 2,038$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.48 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Clippers | 31c | 1,854$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.89 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c9…503cbacked Clippers | 11c | 1,499$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…2c31backed Clippers | 36c | 1,476$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.54 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Nuggets | 69c | 1,440$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Nuggets | 68c | 1,419$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.12 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…963fbacked Clippers | 25c | 1,416$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0c…e090backed Clippers | 32c | 1,400$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…adcfbacked Nuggets | 68c | 1,400$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Clippers | 27c | 1,358$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.11 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…b624backed Clippers | 21c | 1,310$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nuggets | 68c | 1,237$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.59 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…5726backed Clippers | 19c | 1,229$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.08 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…3625backed Clippers | 1c | 1,182$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12cd…ab49backed Clippers | 8c | 1,159$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Clippers | 29c | 1,050$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.98 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a0…6906backed Clippers | 47c | 1,005$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Clippers | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec2…9d07backed Clippers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…1881backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Clippers | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d0…186fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Clippers | 30c | 991.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26af…a178backed Clippers | 19c | 930$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5b47backed Clippers | 31c | 814.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b31…e8ebbacked Nuggets | 78c | 800$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Clippers | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Clippers | 13c | 782.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Clippers | 29c | 732.01$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.77 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Clippers | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Clippers | 24c | 699.98$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Clippers | 32c | 669.38$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…b291backed Nuggets | 69c | 669.25$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d13…d6c1backed Clippers | 9c | 638.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Clippers | 30c | 612.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Clippers | 31c | 608.1$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.51 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Clippers | 13c | 600$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Nuggets | 66c | 522.91$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.54 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Nuggets | 68c | 513.94$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.42 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…21f8backed Nuggets | 68c | 507.65$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Clippers | 25c | 506.89$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Nuggets | 69c | 500.01$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab7…d178backed Clippers | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Clippers | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nuggets | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Nuggets | 70c | 499.93$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Nuggets | 65c | 489.69$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.14 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Clippers | 33c | 459.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6f56backed Clippers | 27c | 448.87$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Nuggets | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Clippers | 33c | 439.39$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Nuggets | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Nuggets | 63c | 401.68$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.68 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…4962backed Clippers | 8c | 400.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…1481backed Clippers | 11c | 388.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets | 67c | 388.27$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.48 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Clippers | 37c | 363.18$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Clippers | 30c | 350.49$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Clippers | 30c | 349.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Clippers | 29c | 344.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Clippers | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…cc43backed Nuggets | 69c | 343.07$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Nuggets | 72c | 333$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…2037backed Clippers | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19dd…2cffbacked Clippers | 36c | 319.55$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Clippers | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…ed0ebacked Clippers | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Nuggets | 69c | 292.75$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Clippers | 27c | 290.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Clippers | 21c | 289.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Clippers | 36c | 286.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Clippers | 35c | 282.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Nuggets | 72c | 279.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.