TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,608 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8c4…7385backed No23c11,362$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9932037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes75c9,094$6,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.8640254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4167…2427backed No24c7,328$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.021435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No2c6,535$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.77839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No24c5,857$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.458230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes75c5,499$4,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.6832158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed No19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9505131.4%16 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes75c3,563$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.6279639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes78c3,070$2,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.5329643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes77c2,932$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.7438649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No24c1,640$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.5517837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No24c1,500$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes75c1,361$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.3140640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No2c1,149$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.287034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No24c600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14415337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc0…9b77backed Yes75c547.12$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.78366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-10.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes74c500.07$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0217945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1153842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85d4…83bbbacked No25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12550%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No9c449.16$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1266031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked No25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004926.5%13 W · 36 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-44.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4707…7e5bbacked No24c312.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes74c300.06$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6640135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f9c…36e4backed No25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70e1…e9eabacked Yes75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7b…c2cbbacked No25c289.64$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Yes77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.74425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4d6…d683backed Yes78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75da…4688backed No24c229.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4829653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4842755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked No27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed No24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked No26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed No26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e92…07a6backed Yes76c171.05$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.05580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Yes74c163.42$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.498750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60c0…e534backed Yes76c144.37$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b38…f058backed Yes76c144.3$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8af…34c7backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…3953backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x745c…22bcbacked Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf6e…632fbacked Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582065%13 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ffc…bb5abacked Yes75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f9a…c496backed Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81e1…7265backed No25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf16e…5220backed No25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7f…d498backed No25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255429.6%16 W · 38 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid+5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb018…8f4bbacked Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed No24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2415554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2525…b919backed No26c97.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.461361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked No26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256051.7%31 W · 29 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a8a…6bd4backed Yes75c92.8$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…c128backed No27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254926.5%13 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf1…0f21backed No27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes77c90.91$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.915541.8%23 W · 32 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe608…0c2cbacked No24c90$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.62050%10 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24cc…d737backed Yes77c84$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.321741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf479…0fe3backed Yes75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e09…3cb2backed No26c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f90…1b35backed Yes76c72.89$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.491145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes75c68.74$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1814057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x431a…f526backed Yes74c67.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f9…0094backed Yes76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f2…8f96backed Yes75c63.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1afb…e0c0backed No26c63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a0…0c07backed No27c60.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4183…f4cbbacked No25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x270f…a7c9backed No27c59.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe633…363fbacked No26c54.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c79…2793backed No26c51.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ce…f660backed Yes75c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.671030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b13…48d1backed Yes74c46.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1029146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7b…7bc3backed Yes75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea4…e097backed No25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4630…a058backed No25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef17…6583backed Yes75c39.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.823357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9120…628bbacked Yes75c33.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdde0…318abacked Yes77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+214.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa534…46bfbacked Yes74c31.73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x731c…bad6backed Yes74c31.67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.23580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+50.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81d0…b98dbacked Yes74c31.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa1…29afbacked Yes74c30.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad8c…3499backed Yes74c30.68$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5e9…7c09backed Yes74c30.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab1…5b18backed Yes74c30.34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+102.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e4…0a7ebacked Yes74c30.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.821463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a77…6d92backed Yes75c29.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c9…e1f5backed Yes74c29.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5744…8be8backed Yes74c28.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ee…1058backed Yes74c27.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9980…2364backed Yes74c27.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef3…b502backed Yes74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.021241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick63cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8838…2991backed Yes74c26.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf23b…4957backed Yes75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x872c…8eabbacked Yes74c26.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.